Four Way Coalition To Rule After Election?

Government coalition partners discuss policy in Hungary or somewhere. (source)

Big political news today is that theConservatives are manoeuvring themselves into a four party deal that could see David Cameron staying on as Prime Minister even if he does not gain a majority in the General Election. According to a leak from Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party, Tory party managers are trying to broker a continuation of a the coalition deal with the Liberal Democrats but include UKIP and the DUP in what they call a ‘confidence and supply’ deal.

With polls showing Labour and Conservatives dead heated on around 32 percent, with the Liberal Democrats on 8 percent and UKIP on 15. Because of the way parliamentary seats are distributed, Labour need far fewer votes to win the election, so on current polling they would be a larger party. However, no party looks like getting an overall majority, and the SNP are demanding too high a price for propping up a Labour Government (in effect they want to exclude English, Welsh and Ulster MPs from voting on Scottish law while exercising the casting vote on any laws affecting the rest of the UK) so another coalition is on the cards.

Under the terms of the deal being discussed, Liberal Democrats and Conservatives would remain as ministers, whilst UKIP and the DUP would vote for the government in confidence motions.

Officially both the DUP and UKIP will do a deal with whichever party offers the biggest sweeteners. as it is unlikely Labour activists would countenance a deal with UKIP or the DUP, this makes the Conservatives favourites to lead such a coalition.

UKIP have stated they will do a deal with either Labour or the Conservatives, but privately acknowledge Miliband is unlikely to offer them an in/out referendum on the EU. This would make cooperation almost impossible.

What is that demonic sound we hear echoing across the nation. Don’t worry, its only old Iain Paisley over on The Dark Side laughing his bollocks off.

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