The Boggart Blog bookie does not much care for political betting, there are too few serious contenders and it is too easy for the kind of operators who buy money betting on very long odds on. Spread betting is a different proposition but he has not ventured into that yet.
Still, things may change, the imminent election has so many uncertainties it throws up opportunities for the eneterprising bookmaker. One area our market making friend may get involved in is laying odds on surprise results in Labour held northern working class constituenceies. Why, you might well ask, when those seats are so safe?
Well here’s a news snippet that is in the public domain, the bookie knows more of course but bookies rely on inside information so he’s not sharing anything beyond this snippet.
… comments came as rumours spread that UKIP possess secret polling showing them ahead of Labour in a number of seats in Northern England.
While the party is not revealing the seats in question, a UKIP insider told Breitbart London that Labour have “taken either eye off the ball in a number of areas that were previously considered safe. UKIP bosses are now expecting a number of shock results on 7th May that will dent Labour’s dominance in Northern England …
If you fancy a modest wager on one particular constituency, go for Bolton North East. Plans for a Super Mosque and a 500 pupil all boys Muslim
madrasa school has awakened voters there to the Islamisation of their town