Le Pen on the up, Macron stuggling
As the USA prepares for its mid term elections tomorrow, with early predictions that a huge backlash against Donald Trump would result in The Democrats winning by large margins and taking control of both The Senate and The House Of Representatives looking to have been wildly optimistic, we look ahead to Europe’s next significant election, where a massive surge in support for natonalism looks set to shake the Euronazi bureaucracy in Bu russels to its foundations.
Though the European Parliament is known as a toothless creature which exists only to give a veneer of legitimacy to the diktat of the unelected bureaucrats who weild the real power in the EU, election results are symbolically important, which makes developments in France quite interesting.
French President Emmanuel Macron is less than two years into his term yet his poll ratings are already abysmal. The former Goldman Sachs office boy, who swept to power on an Obamaesque wave of scaremongering and vague, undeliverable promises, has seen his popularity fall precipitously as an exodus of cabinet officials made his government a laughing stock. He was also tone deaf to the message his “lavish” lifestyle, controversial immigration policies and a scandal involving brutality by a Macron bodyguard and confidant (and alleged gay lover,), have already slid to their lowest level since his presidency began, putting him on pace to eventually match the single-digit approval ratings enjoyed by his predecessor, socialist Francois Hollande, which inspired Hollande not to seek a second term.
Over the weekend, polls dealt another blow to France’s youngest leader since Napoleon, when they revealed that the National Rally (formerly National Front) party’s candidates for the May European Parliament election are polling higher than candidates running on Macron’s “En Marche” ticket. This is the first time the anti – immigration, French nationalist party has overtaken Macron’s centrist movement in the polls since the new party, a mash up of conservatives and socialists disillusioned with their parties’ weakness in the face of Le Pen’s Eurosceptic challenge, was cobbled together by the Franch establishment and the EU as a “stop Le Pen” option.
As the IFOP opinion poll showed, National Rally candidates – who belong to the party led by Marine Le Pen, Macron’s former opponent in the 2017 presidential campaign – were polling at 21%, compared with 19% for En Marche:
We have been constantly reminded in recent years that polls are not reliable indicators of election results, but a constant downward trend of the kind that Macron’s popularity has shown, should be taken seriously.