COVID – 19: Do The Figures Justify The Actions

 

Looking over the stories on the COVID – 19 coronavirus epidemic the one thing, perhaps the only thingto clearly emerge from the farrago is that the arithmetic of those leading the campaign of fear and panic over this relatively minor (for the vast majority of us,) illness is on a par with Diane Abbot’s. We are being told this pandemic could kill so many people it will change the world forever, nations with large populations are being closed down because of a few hundred (or a fer dozen in some cases,) dead – and not neccessarily  of the virus, the deaths are being described as “coronavirus related” if the deceased is simply in a hospital where there have been cases of the virus.  Though it is agreed the disease originated in China and any sensible person must take figures released by the Chinese government with a very large pinch of monosodium glutamate. Italy with a population of 60 million and an altogether “>better reputation for transparency than China is now regarded as the nation hardest hit epidemic.  Yet even in Italy the number of corona virus cases is not statistically significant and given that deaths are predominantly among the old and people with chronic health problems it is importat to note that deaths are reported as “coronavirus – related” so it is not possible to know how many were actually killed by the virus and how many, having been exposed to the virus, died of other causes, and might well have died had they not been in contact with COVID – 19.

And BTW its kill rate worldwide is way below that of seasonal ‘flu and that of tuberculosis, a disase which we are told by The Powers That Be was eradicated decades ago yet still kills approximately 4000 people a day worldwide.

The panic gripping Britain has been made worse because Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who started quite well by taking the attitude that it was no big deal, has been overcome by public opinion that has been whipped into a frenzy by the irresponsible wankers in the university system, mainstream media, the political establishment and the “experts” of the mathematical modelling industry. Yes the figures we are being goven for the rate at which the disease is spreading are just output from matematical models and have no basis in reality. When, if ever, the final statistics for COVID infections and kills are known and turn out to be a fraction of the numbers killed by cholera, typhoid, smallpox, Spanish ‘flu and and the aforementioned tuberculosis, it will be amusing to speculate on what spin The New World Order globalists, will put on it to justify destroying the global economy for a paltry few hundred thousand deaths.

It has a long way to go to beat the usual numbers of excess deaths worldwide never mind just England and Wales as in this document from the UK Government Office of National Statistics. Note the not unusual comment in the final paragraph. A brief summary of main points is provided below the link:

Download Excess winter mortality in England and Wales as PDF 

1.Main points

  • In the 2017 to 2018 winter period, there were an estimated 50,100 excess winter deaths in England and Wales.
  • The number of excess winter deaths in 2017 to 2018 was the highest recorded since winter 1975 to 1976.
  • During the winter months of 2017 to 2018, the number of daily deaths exceeded the daily five-year average for all days except 25 March.
  • Excess winter mortality in 2017 to 2018 significantly increased from 2016 to 2017 in all English regions and Wales, with Wales having the highest regional index.
  • Excess winter mortality continued to be highest in females and people aged 85 and over.
  • Excess winter mortality doubled among males aged 0 to 64 years between 2016 to 2017 and 2017 to 2018.
  • Over one-third (34.7%) of all excess winter deaths were caused by respiratory diseases.

2.Statistician’s comment

“The number of excess winter deaths in England and Wales in 2017 to 2018 was the highest recorded since the winter of 1975 to 1976. However, peaks like these are not unusual – we have seen more than eight peaks during the last 40 years. It is likely that last winter’s increase was due to the predominant strain of flu, the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine and below-average winter temperatures”.

Nick Stripe, Health Analysis and Life Events, Office for National Statistics

*

So FFS what are we all panicking about. According to one way of looking at the statistics, COVID-19 has actually made the nation healthier. Boris’ pet monkey Dominic Cummings  must be desperate for the numbers to improve (i.e. more dead,). Despite all the fear-and-panic propaganda, and disproportionate actions, the death rate is inconsequential. Even Italy’s death rate is statistically insignificant, and is a fudge anyway as many of those people would have died had they not been exposed to COVID-19.

The public are already deeply suspicious, not least because the virus PR has focused solely on appealing to negative emotions and avoiding facts, a sure sign of dishonest intentions. Add the BBC have been running an orchestrated campaign aimed at promoting irrational fear in the ignorant.  And now as it become clear the ruse hasn’t worked, people are regarding the lockdown as a paid holiday. Naturally the establishment talking heads, media and academics are profoundly pissed off that, as with Brexit, us ordinary punters have seen through their scaremongering tactics, and are trying to pin all the blame for the ricidulously over the top measure such as putting the whole nation on lockdown on Boris Johnson.

Ok, reality check everyone. Unfortunately, societies in the developed world have become so complex that it is impossible for any politician or party to cope with things that affect many parts of the system. It might serve the interests of certain professions to trash entire national economies in order to move their agendas towards the goal of serving sectional interests, but it does not do the majority of us any good.

So the politicians, judges, civil servants, scientists and experts may fix some things some of the time but most are left unattended So, when things like these happen it is no good to rely on people’s good nature as the survival instinct kicks in and they do illogical things.

The media have not helped by sensationalizing stories, exaggerating claims and cherry picking statistics in order to create the impression that a minor illness was an existential threat to the human race. It would have helped a lot if all the above had been more sceptical of claims made by the notoriously economical with the truth communist regime in China.

However, the truth is that the world’s most powerful nations have been plunged into chaos because of a trivial inconvenience and the need of the power elites to reassert their superiority in the face of  nationalistic pushbacks against the globalist, neoliberal orthodoxies that have prevailed for the past forty years.

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