Globalisation, Davosocracy and The Peoples’ Pushback

French writer and political philosopher Renaud Camus, who found fame (or notoriety perhaps,) as the first academic to propose the theory of the “Great Replacement (link goes to French language video),” aired his thoughts to news reporters about the wave of riots and civil unrest that has rocked France over the past two months, giving his opinion that the recent “Yellow Vest” protests are a grassroots reaction against the Davos elite who view working people as worthless “human Nutella.” (i.e. cheap, low grade products.)

Mr Camus warned there might be more substance to the Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) movement, which organised the protests and, according to polls, is supported by 77 per cent of French people , than just dissatisfaction over a rise in fuel taxes, saying it was really about a “lack of respect by governments for the prople,  being treated by managerial politics like an object, a simple product.

“A product, a producer, and a consumer all at once, a thing, a number, not a human being,” Camus said, echoing his view that the elite do noy see the masses as people, individuals with ambitions, concerns and their own intelligent view of the world. This attitude, he claims, is how elitists justify to themselves the destruction of communities as entire industries have been relocated to low labour cost economies, leaving behind what is usually described as ‘the gig economy,’ but which some have described as the ‘waiters and bartenders economy,’ because of the low quality and often part time work available to people rendered redundant as work has migrated east and south, while low skilled, poorly educated multitudes have migrated north and west.

Excoriating the globalist elites, whom Camus refers to as the “Davocracy,” an allusion to the annual World Economic Forum meetings in the Swiss town of Davos, where the rich and powerful arrive in their private jets to meet, enjoy fine foods, rare wines and high class prostitutes and make decisions like the one that is leading to the replacement of educated, intelligent Europeans who ask difficult questions with uneducated, illiterate third world immigrants who can easily be bought with free stuff, Camus claimed the global elites were advocates of the “Great Replacement” saying they supported “the change of people and civilisation for the sake of the industry of man, the economic system which produces the Undifferentiated Human Matter, the human Nutella, spreadable at will.”

Harsh words from Camus, but they contain more than a grain of truth one suspects.

The theory of the Great Replacement, which Camus states. not only refers to mass migration but to the easy and efficient interchangeability of goods as well as peoples (aka the throwaway society,) has been referred to by several prominent French figures including the Mayor of Béziers Robert Ménard, the Archbishop of Strasbourg Luc Ravel, and conservative politician Nicolas Dupont-Aignan.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has also made numerous references to a replacement of European people through migration, and has been widely attacked for his views by Cultural Marxist leaders leaders such as Barack Obama, Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron.

More recently, the French department of Mayotte, an island off the coast of Africa, highlighted the “replacement” of their indigenous peoples due to wave upon wave of illegal migrants in recent years. The first European outpost to be totally swamped by illegal immigrants might have been the Italian island of Lampedusa, had the nationalist coalition of Lega and Five Star not dealth a crushing defeat to the neo – liberal consensus parties of the Italian establishment in last years election.

It is happening in mainland France, Germany, Britain, Sweden, Netherlands, Belgium, and Spain. Only Italy, Hungary, Austria and Poland have so far shown and will to resist.

The developed world’s political and business elite, who roll up every year to attend the annual World Economic Forum (WEF) jamboree in Davos, Switzerland, are actually beginning to admit their push for globalisation and open bordershich with the help of leaders like Angela Merkel, Barack Obama, François Holland and hs successor Emmanuel Macron, have contributed to the worldwide populist backlash and the rejection of the mass integration and multiculturalism project, the aim of which was to create a global monoculture.

Harvard professor and former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund Kenneth Rogoff told Bloomberg that following WEF 2016 he “started to grow concerned” then-candidate Donald J. Trump would be elected president of the U.S.A. because the consensus among attendees of the elite gathering Mr. Trump could not possibly win.

“A joke I’ve told 1,000 people in the months since attending that years World Economic Forum is that the conventional wisdom of Davos is always wrong,” wisecracked the former IMF chief who is scheduled to attend Davos again this year along with some 3,000 other members of the political, business, media, and academic elite, most of whom are the same people that so confidently agreed Trump could not win the 2016 Presidential election.

“No matter how improbable, the event most likely to happen is the opposite of whatever the Davos consensus is,” he added.

Davos also failed to predict the rise of populism in Europe, Italy’s rejection of constitutional change that led to the resignation of Prime Minister Mattheo Renzi, or the UK voting to leave the European Union (EU) which Forbes described as the “populist revolt against Davos Man”.

“Davos Man” was coined by political scientist Samuel P. Huntington who described “these transnationals” as “[having] little need for national loyalty, view national boundaries as obstacles that thankfully are vanishing, and see national governments as residues from the past whose only useful function is to facilitate the elite’s global operations”.

One of the eight Oxford University academics set to attend the meeting, Ngaire Woods, dean of the Blavatnik School of Government, said, “There has to be some humility. For 30 years the elite have said, ‘We’re managing globalization, and we’re making it work for everyone’.”

“They cannot just keep repeating that,” added the frequent Davos visitor.

However, WEF founder Klaus Shwab has alleged that globalisation was an “easy scapegoat” for world angst, and argued that populism wasn’t the answer, saying, “We cannot just have populist solutions”.

With populism high on the agenda at Davos, one of the sessions will include a panel of psychologists offering thoughts on “cultivating appropriate emotions in a time of nationalist populism”.

Managing Director of the IMF Christine Lagarde, who was found guilty by French courts in December 2017 of criminal negligence in a case concerning the misappropriation of funds, said she wanted to “rehabilitate the appearance of globalism”. She said she wanted a “move toward globalization that has a different face, and which is not excluding people along the way”.

Lagarde will be chairing a session at Davos entitled: “Squeezed and Angry: How to Fix the Middle Class Crisis” along with hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio. Days before the EU referendum vote, the French lawyer belittled Brexit voters by implying they were small-minded, called for a “united Europe”, and launched a report claiming a ‘Leave’ vote would lead to half a million job losses.

Also anticipated to attend the exclusive conclave is billionaire open borders activist and founder of the Open Society Foundations George Soros, who admitted involvement in engineering Europe’s Migrant Crisis, called national borders “an obstacle”, and has financial ties to the W. K. Kellogg Foundation.

Other notable attendees include a dozen members of the European Commission including Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström, who responded,“I do not take my mandate from the European people” when asked a question by a poverty campaigner regarding the unpopular (and now abandoned,) Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) deal between America and the EU, which was opposed by millions of Europeans.

The World Economic Forum (or the junior Bilderberg Group as some call it) held their annual jolly conference at the exclusive Alpine resort of Davos-Klosters where it will cost you €20 (about$22) for a cup of coffee because the locals have to keep chavs out somehow. Two thousand five hundred politicians, celebrities, and business leaders from all over the world gather every year for this “Bilderberg style” meeting. The delegates include 53 people who own as much wealth as the poorest half of the world’s population and representatives of over 1,000 of the multinational corporate businesses all of which are on record as supporting global government and open borders.

One of the most significant discussions held at this year’s Davos powerfest concerned the growing disconnect between middle and working class citizens and the power elites. Everywhere in the world one looks, citizens no longer trust their governments or the legal, medical and academic professions, the science & technology community, finance and the mainstream media:

“If this growing disconnect between governments and citizens is not fixed rapidly, there can be no legitimate, accountable and trusted global cooperation, problem solving or governance.” – WEF Everybody’s Business Report.

And so what have they done? In collaboration with Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Amazon and other internet giants our governments and business elites have embraced the idea of using censorship to suppress ideas and opinions which challenge the official narrative. A UK government promotion, The Integrity Initiative has been exposed as working to ensure any item expressing support for the Assad regime in Syria, or criticising military interventions aimed at effecting ‘regime change’ are made invisible by blocking them in internet searches, ‘shadow – banning’ the content posted by certain organisations and individuals and rather than promoting the truth, which in the case of Syria is that bad as the Assad regime may be, what would replace them, as ISIS have shown, would be even worse, actively suppressing accurate reporting in the public domain and replacing it with politically convenient misinformation.

In their minds of course, we the punters are far too stupid to see through such a ruse and will accept what we are being told and allow the globalisation project to continue unchecked.

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McDonalds Is Replacing 2,500 Minimum Wage Workers With Digital Cashiers: Here Is Its Math

While the latest employment figures in the USA appeared to signal a pick up in the jobs market, with unemployment benefit claim falling, only people unaware if the statistical prestadigitation used to massage the figures (people unemployed for two years or more are not counted as unemployed – they are, to borrow a term from the old Soviet Union, ‘unpersoned.’) oblivious to the carnage among the broader restaurant and fast-food sector or what financial news website Zero Hedge calls the waiters and bartenders economy.

McDonald’s are doing particularly well, after several years of looking like the sick man of the stock market, the fast food chani’s latest innovation has sent share prices soaring. In a report published this week, analyst Andrew Charles, the calculates the jump in sales as a result of Ronald McDonald’s new Experience of the Future strategy of replacing minimum wage workers with digital ordering and payment kiosks (shown above). As a result of legally mandated increases in minimum wages, the biggest employer of minimum wage workers will replace cashiers in at least 2,500 restaurants by the end of 2017 and another 3,000 over 2018. Cowen also mentioned plans for the fast food chain to roll out mobile ordering across 14,000 U.S. locations by the end of 2017.
Here is a snapshot of the figures that Cowen, used to come up with the cost-savings as McDonalds increasingly lays off more and more minimum wage workers and replaces them with “Big Mac ATMs” It shows the full costing and identifies the increases in minimum wage mandated under the Obama administration as the reason  why the Ronald McDonald’s little munchkins, the client-facing minimum wage  workers are now obsolete. And you can bet in a highly competitive business other fast food chains will be quick to follow suit.

McD is cultivating a digital platform through mobile ordering and Experience of the Future (EOTF), an in-store technological overhaul most conspicuous through kiosk ordering and table delivery. Our analysis suggests efforts should bear fruit in 2018 with a combined 130 bps contribution to U.S. comps. We believe mobile ordering better supplements the drive-thru business where 70%+ of U.S. sales are transacted. In our view, MCD’s differentiation lies in the operational enhancements of mobile ordering that includes curbside pick-up of orders in order to not disrupt the drive-thru.
We are most excited for mobile ordering, Experience of the Future and the launch of fresh beef to help drive U.S. same store sales in 2018. We provide analysis for the latter three, which cumulatively we expect to contribute roughly 150 bps to U.S. same store sales in 2018, respectively. This gives us confidence to raise our 2018 U.S. same store sales forecast from 2% to 3%, in excess of Consensus Metrix’s 2.5%.
Experience of the Future Features Lower ROI Than Mobile Order, But Offers Greater Potential Longer Term
We are constructive on the use of guest facing technology for the restaurant industry. MCD’s longer-term U.S. story revolves around Experience of the Future (EOTF), a holistic operational and technological overhaul to the store base. MCD’s March 2017 investor meeting centered around the initiative with interactive displays. Perhaps the most conspicuous piece of Experience of the Future lies in digital kiosk ordering, which have seen success in International Lead Markets. Additionally, food ordered via the kiosk is delivered to the customer’s table. We believe EOTF better enhances the instore experience, which represents roughly 30% of domestic sales compared to mobile ordering, which allows customers to avoid leaving their cars.
Our ROI math suggests EOTF leads to a 9% cash/cash return in Year 1 in the 55% of domestic stores that do not require a store remodel, and 5% in the 45% of stores that require a remodel, which is a predecessor to implementing EOTF. Our math is premised on total costs of $150,000 for the Experience of the Future enhancement, and $700,000 of all-in costs when including EOTF as well as a store remodel. MCD has offered to pay 55% of the cost for Experience of the Future, in excess of the 40% the company contributed to the store remodel initiative beginning in 2010, for restaurants that commit to the program by the end of 2017.
McDonald’s targets a high-teens return on incrementally invested capital (ROIIC, or McSpeak for evaluating ROI), improving to the mid-20% range beginning in 2019. We believe EOTF’s ROI is captured over time as the sales lift does not dissolve as in the case of a traditional restaurant remodel. Rather, the lift should sustain as we expect consumers to increasingly embrace technological change. This is evidenced across concepts, such as Panera’s experience with 2.0, as well as McDonald’s own experience in Canada, where kiosks saw 12-13% sales mix in Year 1 and 27% in Year 2. We also note kiosk ordering will also likely lead to labor savings over time which should help boost ROIIC, but is unlikely for the foreseeable future.

 

In 2017, MCD expects to end the year with EOTF offered in 2,500 domestic locations from 500 at 2016-end. MCD targets the majority of domestic locations to feature EOTF by 2020, but has not given intermediary targets. The amount of stores adding EOTF depends on franchise reception to the initiative but we see positive indicators given our checks as well as the company’s disclosure that 90% of franchisees approved of the initiative after taking the same interactive tour that was given at the March 2017 investor day.

We estimate 3,000 locations to add EOTF in 2018, which should lead to a 70 bps contribution to U.S. same store sales assuming an even cadence of restaurants adding the initiative over the course of the year. Further we assume the mix of stores adding EOTF in 2018 reflects the mix of overall stores needed to add EOTF, or 55% of stores that already have a remodel while 45% require a store remodel. McDonald’s  has previously announced plans to remodel 650 restaurants in 2017, which we expect will also add EOTF.

Or to put it more succinctly, the great achievement of the Social Justice Warriors and the Community Organiser In Chief in the closing stages of the Obama presidency has succeeded not in doubling the wages of low paid workers but in putting them out of jobs.

Throughout the US presidential election campaign one of the main policy pledges of Democratic nomination contender Bernie Sanders was that the minimum wage would be lifted to $15 per hour. This current move by McDonalds is a direct reaction to minimum wage laws in some states where liberals dominate the state legislature. The jobs being lost to technology are simply not worth $15 an hour, so well done Bernie Sanders & Co. as predicted in January 2016 thanks to your economic illiteracy many thousands of people who used to earn minimum wage will have no job at all.

MCDONALDS is using the excuse of 15 dollar an hour minimum wage, to eliminate PEOPLE from their workforce, however to maintain profits they need people with money who can afford to buy their toxic-shiteburgers. The endless pursuit of the lowest possible labor coast means ‘things’ and ‘services’ cost less BUT what do you do when nobody below the to ten per cent is still working (strike that, I’m still in the top ten per cent and I haven’t worked for twenty years,) How will the global economy keep growing when the majority of people have no money to buy anything but the most basic essentials?

And I promise you the top ten per cent are not going to be buying many burgers from McDonalds. The new serfdom is going to be worse than the 12th century version and the path there is going to see a bigger die off than the Black Death. What was it Ted Turner desired? A reduction in global population to six hundred million?

They’re not just killing off minimum wage jobs – they’re slashing all they can at levels all the way up to the top. Anything to make better numbers.
Katos’s picture

John Steinbeck said “the bank is a monster that men created.” It’s true, but does not go far enough, the global corporations are monsters too, and all monsters are insatiable! Steinbeck also said if the monster does not grow it dies, and if the monster is to grow it must be fed. Think about that, who feeds the monsters but the wage slaves. And when the wage slaves cannot produce enough to satisfy the monster, it will consume them, starting at the bottom. Then the people who comtrol the monster will find find that the botton was supporting them the whole time!

As thousands of stores close across Europe and the USA close, partly due to online competition and partly to people having no money for anything but essentials, the corporations think they can solve the problem by replacing people with robits and Artificial Intelligence?

AI is a pipe dream. Show me the program that writes its own classes and functions, fixes its own bugs, and I’ll start to believe. Many prominent computer science programs in the country have already changed their course names from “AI” to “Machine Learning” for just this reason – as complex as algorithmic design has gotten, machine learning is still just a series of complex decision trees. It’s only natural that they become more accurate as they’re fed more data and refined. Incredible tools for good and for evil, but hardly conscious.

There’s a bizzare religiosity to transhumanism and AGI has become its de-facto “Deus ex Machina.” As I’ve yet to find a “God” (in the religious sense) that actually exists, I’m left to assume that transhumans will follow in the footsteps of their Trinity-based counterparts and use an entrenched (technological) Priest class to sell their “God” to the largely tech – illiterate masses.

I mean, your average schmuck already believes their Amazon Alexa is some kind of AI. When you try to explain to them that it’s simply a device for retrieval, manipulation, and presentation of stored data (like all computers), their eyes glaze over as their preference for a world of “magic” watched over by machines of loving grace kicks in.

As for the zero cost promise of automation, if molecular printing and near-free energy show up anytime soon, this is a possibility; but certain industries are already highly automated with no such overwhelming price/supply effect. Look at the way food production is going, almost entirely automated, getting cheaper all the time yet still suffering from the ravages of inflation, to say nothing of the quality!

We have little to fear from automation and Artifical Intelligence. Except for the minimum wage workers of course.

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The Great Recovery Illusion

On the BBC television political discussion show last night, in which a panel drawn from the political, media and academic communities field questions from an audience drawn from the general public, a panellist who I assume was a conservative was squawking about how well the UK economy was doing, citing that unemployment had fallen again in recent months and was now down to levels last seen before the dotcom crash in 2000.

An audience member was quickly on his feet to point out, to applause from the whole audience that the figure was misleading as people in zero hours contracts and part time jobs are classed as ‘in work’ to get them off the statistics. The young man could also have reminded the programmes studio and television audience that people who are out of work for two years are reclassified as ‘not economically active’ and removed from the unemployment register. Even if these people would love to work and are eager to grab any reasonably well paid job available, they are not counted as unemployed.

Then there are the lost legions of the partially disabled, the thousands encouraged to sign up for toytown degree courses at tenth rate colleges and universities. and don’t get me started on the non jobs in the public sector, the equalities offices, gender awareness councillors and so on.

This manipulation of statistics to create a false impression of economic – if not health then only ‘feeling-a-bit-off-colourism’ is not only going on in Britain and among our EU colleagues. With every months employment statistics from Washington, Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge return to one of his favourite themes, the the recovery in the US waiter and bartender economy.
Every month, if we look back, we see Washington claiming the U S economy has created stupendous numbers of ‘new jobs’ (I’m not sure but I have the impression a lot of these are just a case of hiring a replacement for someone who retired, but changing the job title slightly.

Overall however, due to population growth via immigration, in Europe and North America the proportion of the whole population actually in work is regularly hitting new lows. We live in an era of universal deception.

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Italy’s Prime Minister Says Merkel Unilateral Initiative On Migrant Crisis Is Unacceptable

We have been reporting on the breakup of the EU for several years now. The immigrant crisis, the problems with the European Single currency system and its detrimental effect on the weaker economies among its twenty seven members, and the increasing encroachment of the Brussels bureaucracy on matters of national sovereignty are symptoms of a greater malaise.


The glory that was Rome. but Italy is still one of the world’s largest economies and a prod nation. Chancellor Merkel is foolish to belittle its EU partner (Image source)

The divisions between German leader Angela Merkel and her main allies in the EU, French President Francois Hollande and E U Commission President Jean – Claude Juncker, and the leaders of many other member states deepening, Italy is the latest nation to assert its sovereignty against the increasing trend of decisions being made by the German and French governments in collaboration with Brussels bureaucrats and them imposed on other EU members.

It is unacceptable for German Chancellor Angela Merkel to cut deals on Europe’s refugee crisis with French President Francois Hollande and the head of the European Commission without involving Italy, Italy’s leader has said, according to a report from Reuters.

Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, whose country is one of the main entry points for migrants from north Africa and the middle east to enter Europe illegally, has stepped up his criticism of the EU on a number of issues as he tries to deal with Italy’s stubbornly low economic growth after three years of recession.

Speaking as he prepared to meet Hausfrau – Volksfuhrer Merkel in Berlin on Friday, Renzi told German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung he would be happy if the German chancellor and President Hollande could solve all Europe’s problems.

“But that is generally not the case,” he said in an interview published in the paper’s Thursday edition.

“If we’re looking for a joint European strategy to solve the refugee question, it can’t be sufficient for Angela to first call Hollande and then EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker, and that I learn of the result in the press,” he added.

More than one million migrants have reached Europe over the past year, many of them fleeing conflicts in Syria, Iraq, Africa and elsewhere. The crisis has strained relations between EU member states and tested their commitment to Europe’s open-borders Schengen agreement. This figure does not include any estimate for the ones who have avoided registering as refugees, asylum seekers or economic migrants and simply disappeared into the city ghettoes. One estimate puts the number at 600,000 for Germany alone.

Renzi recently dismissed calls by the groups executive branch, to tone down his criticism of EU policies on European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker for Italy to desist from criticizing the EU’s disastrous immigration policy, and failure to address issues related to jobs, unemployment, industry, banking and the budget.

“Italy deserves respect,” Renzi reportedly retorted.

“I think that the Italian Prime Minister, whom I respect a lot, is wrong to criticise the Commission at each street corner,” Juncker told reporters in Brussels, hinting at possible domestic reasons for the criticism.

“I keep my bitterness, which is big, in my pocket,” Juncker added. He is also repouted to keep a big bottle of brandy in his pocket.

Caught between the crossfire of two anti-euro opposition parties in Rome and wrestling with stubbornly low economic output after three years of recession, Renzi has opened up disputes with the EU on several fronts. Though this is seen as a diversionary tactic in Europe, Italy does have genuine grounds to object to the way Germany has used its dominant position in the 28 member group of nations.

A big part of the problem is that in pursuit of the Marxist ideal of a single global government with all the peoples of the world enslaved by a ruling elite (what Gorge Orwell called ‘Oligarchical Collectivism’ in his novel of a dystopian future, ‘1984’ the EU bureaucracy and socialist leaders of the most powerful nations have deliberately imported third world cultural and sectarian problems in an effort to destabilise the democratic systems of Europe and pave the way for a bureaucratic dictatorship that would extent the EU into north Africa and the middle east.

The Islamization Of France In 2015


The Muslim population of France reached 6.5 million in 2015, or around 10% of the overall population of 66 million. In real terms, France has the largest Muslim population in the European Union, just above Germany.

Although French law prohibits the collection of official statistics about the race or religion of its citizens, this estimate is based on several studies that attempted to calculate the number of people in France whose origins are from Muslim-majority countries.

What follows is a chronological review of some of the main stories about the rise of Islam in France during 2015:

JANUARY

January 1. The Interior Ministry announced the most anticipated statistic of the year: a total of 940 cars and trucks were torched across France on New Year’s Eve, a 12% decrease from the 1,067 vehicles burned during the annual ritual on the same holiday in 2014. Car burnings, commonplace in France, are often attributed to rival Muslim gangs that compete with each other for the media spotlight over which can cause the most destruction. An estimated 40,000 cars are burned in France every year.

January 3. A 23-year-old Muslim man in Metz tried to strangle a police officer while shouting “Allahu Akbar!” (“Allah is the greatest!”). The assault took place at the police station after the man, who was arrested for purse-snatching, asked the officer to bring him a glass of water. When the policeman opened the cell door, the man lunged at him. The officer was rescued by a colleague who saw the scene unfold on a video surveillance camera.

January 7-9. A series of jihadist attacks in Paris left 17 people dead. The first and deadliest of the attacks occurred on January 7, when French-born Islamic radicals Chérif and Saïd Kouachi stormed the offices of the magazine Charlie Hebdo and fatally shot eight employees, two police officers, and two others, and injured eleven other people. On January 8, a third assailant in the attacks, Amedy Coulibaly, shot and killed municipal police officer Clarissa Jean-Philippe in Montrouge, a suburb of Paris. On January 9, Coulibaly entered a HyperCacher kosher supermarket in Paris, killed four people and took several hostages. Coulibaly was killed when police stormed the store. His female accomplice, Hayat Boumeddiene, France’s “most wanted woman,” remains at large and is believed to have fled to Syria.

Read full article from The Gatestone Institute

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The lies and deceit of official unemployment statistics

Economy Booming, Unemployment Dropping So Why Are So Many People Out Of Work?

by Phil T Looker, The Daily Stirrer

Unemployment is in freefall the latest government figures tell us. So why aren’t we feeling it?

More people are working, but work doesn’t pay a living wage. Employment is up, but tax revenue is down. The economy is humming again, yet Britain is still in debt. What exactly is going on?

The latest statistics, published today show unemployment rates have fallen to their lowest level in five years. The Coalition has presided over an incredible boom in employment, with Britain gaining jobs at the fastest rate of any country in Europe. This week David Cameron even resurrected the old dream of “full employment”; our own leader column calls it a “jobs miracle”.

So why isn’t it doing us any good?

Lefties will screech about the need to raise the minimum wage, but the minimum wage has never worked and never will. Employers imply cut hours.

Even with more people in work than ever before tax revenues aren’t as high as were predicted. Why? The usual suspects are involved, part time working, zero hours contracts, and the statistical trick of only counting those claiming job seekers allowance as unemployed and classifying the long term unemployed (jobseekers allowance runs out after two years,) as not economically active. Count the real unemployed rather than the ‘scientifically’ unemployed and the figure has dropped little since its peak in 2009. As it happens, two analysts at Citigroup – Michael Saunders and Ann O’Kelly – have been considering exactly this question.

They found that the problem is not corporation tax – higher profits mean revenues have grown at almost double the rate predicted. Nor is it VAT, which has grown by exactly as much as expected. Stamp duty has gone up by 34 per cent. Neither high-rolling executives nor ordinary shoppers have slowed down their contributions. You can read the full analysis with charts in this Daily Telegraph article.

It is an excellent analysis and confirms all of the suspicions cited by business managers and accountants. It will be useful however, for the benefit of those who are not accountants, to expand on the bare statistics in order to highlight where the under-employed, and those who claim the lion’s share of working tax credits, are coming from. See this report created by a statistician with the help of a Freedom Of Information request. Yes, its another indictment of uncontrolled immigration and the eagerness of main pary politicians to smooth the path of those who arrive in our country illegally, to full residency rights.

The problem with the Government / Office of National Statistics methodology is the manner in which the UK assigns ‘nationality’ to anyone who wasn’t born in this country, and excludes naturalised British citizens (i.e. it doesn’t include non-UK born children who were naturalised).

From Table 2 in Saunders and Kelly’s analysis it is notable that of lower income tax credits families with children – i.e. whose awards include both Working Tax Credit and Child Tax Credit – over a quarter (27.13%) are migrant families.

From Table 3 this group of lower income families with children forms almost half (48.25%) of all migrant families claiming tax credits. Lower income families with children form a smaller proportion of non migrant families claiming tax credits (39.14%).

From Table 3 a slightly lower proportion of migrant families are out of work families with children (26.5%) than non migrant families (31.4%). However, from Table 2 migrant families comprise nearly a fifth of tax credits families who are out of work couples with children (19.49%) but only half that proportion of out of work single parents (10.59%).

The key issue however is that despite the increase in employment numbers there has not been a corresponding increase in the income tax take.

Clearly there has been an increase in low paid low skilled jobs. The influx of labour from eastern Europe and the subcontinent combined with Gordon Browns working tax credits has meant that the elasticity of labour supply has depressed wage growth and it may be simply that the treasury models have incorrectly forecast, in their models, this effect.
Secondly, there has been a significant increase in self employment, many of these self employment jobs have been created by East Europeans typically your Polish/ Romanian builders and as such the tax take from such employment is generally much lower than PAYE as a result of cash transactions etc.

Additionally, at least from my experience, much of the self employment increase has also been driven from higher Salary earners particularly in the media and IT sectors (so fed up with high levels of Tax and what they see as Government waste) that they opt out of PAYE employment and take on contract work under IR 35 where they can reduce their Tax charge by as much as 30% to 40% as well as their NI charges.

Thirdly, the very low even negative yields on fixed income investments that have resulted from low interest rates must have a significant impact on the tax take.

Statisticians delude themselves that those not inducted into the mysteries of the dark arts are easily fooled by graphs and charts, in truth it is statisticians who are easily deceived by their own deceptions. People who live in the real world do not look at and graphs, they look at the bottom line of their payslip and think about how they will stretch it to pay the bills and put food on the table

The do – gooders can screech all they like and demand that the minimum wage be raised to £10 per hour or even higher. If like a young woman I know, somebody is bullied by public servants into taking a minimum wage ‘job’ that only provided seven and a half hours a week work, in order to get her off the unemployed register, it still isn’t going to giver her family a living wage.

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Elsewhere: [Boggart Blog]…[Little Nicky Machiavelli]… [ Ian’s Authorsden Pages ]… [Scribd]…[Wikinut] … [ Boggart Abroad] … [ Grenteeth Bites ] … Ian Thorpe at Flickr ] … [ Tumblr ] … [Ian at Minds ] … [ The Original Boggart Blog] … [ Authorsden blog ]

Nice Work If You Can Get It

This is a satirical report on as US Federal job creation program from The New Yorker:

Sixty-four unskilled workers will report to new jobs in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday as part of a federal jobs program that provides employment for people unable to find productive work elsewhere.

The new hires, who have no talents or abilities that would make them employable in most workplaces, will be earning a first-year salary of $174,000.

For that sum, the new employees will be expected to work a hundred and thirty-seven days a year, leaving them with two hundred and twenty-eight days of paid vacation.

Some critics have blasted the federal jobs program as too expensive, noting that the workers were chosen last November in a bloated and wasteful selection process that cost the nation nearly four billion dollars.

But Prof. Davis Logsdon, a University of Minnesota economics professor who specializes in labor issues, said that the program is necessary to provide work “for people who honestly cannot find employment anywhere else. Expensive as this program is, it is much better to have these people in jobs than out on the street,” he said.

Borowitz is referring to the newly elected congress members who will be taking their seats this week. Reads will be pleased to learn that the UK government has not been left behind in its efforts to create new jobs for useless fuckers the otherwise unemployable. And unspecified number of people fortunate enough to have been selected for a similar scheme in the UK will take up their positions in early May.

Seeking a job in France? Think . It’s no wonder migrants want to get to Britain

Thinking Of Moving To France To Find Work? You might be in for a shock. While lefties, i.e. human-like creatures that lack the power of rational thought) will tell you Britain is the only EU member where people think that those authoritarian EU regulations that stifle progress and favour immigrants over long term residents in jobs, housing etc., a look around Europe tells a very different story. Yesterday we reported that the Neo – Nazi Social Democrat government of Sweden has passed a law making it a criminal offence to criticize their immigration policy whic involves plans to import fifty million immigrants from the third world into that nation of less than ten million people (OK, fifty million may be a slight exaggeration but you get my point.)

SPEISA

Sweden passes law to criminalize any criticism of immigration

A new law will come into effect in Sweden after Christmas 2014, that will allow people to be prosecuted for criticizing immigration or politician’s unwillingness to tackle the issue. The Constitutional Committee’s report has been voted for in parliament, seen in a letter from the Parliamentary Offices. Member of Parliament Andrew Norlén, member of the Constitutional Committee, has been pushing the issue and he says it will rapidly become a deterrent.

“I do not think it takes very many prosecutions before a signal is transmitted in the community that the internet is not a lawless country, the sheriff is back in town” Norlén said during a one-sided ‘debate’ on the issue in Swedish parliament.

This new law is meant to stop Swedish people from complaining about their country being turned into a third world nation.

Without freedom of speech there can be no democracy. If you are not allowed to say certain things then parties that support your ideas cannot exist and Sweden is at high risk of turning into a communist USSR-like country.

Meanwhile in France, thanks to loonytoons economic and emplyment policies and an open doors approach to immigration finding a permanent job is like winning the lottery, and new figures suggest that it’s getting harder and harder with companies overwhelmingly preferring to hand out temporary contacts.

Short-term job contracts and the equivalent of zero hours contracts dominated the French labour market last year, representing more than eight out of ten new hires, cementing the notion that landing a permanent job in France is like finding the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

The figures, released by the Labour Ministry’s statistics office Dares (link to french language site), showed that short-term CDDs (Contrat à Durée Déterminée) represented 83.6 percent of all new hires in 2013, up 2.3 percentage points from 2012.

But by the second quarter this year, the situation had got even worse. Dares said that by then, the number of temporary hires had climbed to a staggering 84.2 percent – a new historic high.

The agency said the trend was hitting all age categories, but that the number of permanent positions handed out had seen a particularly strong decline among those aged between 15 and 49.

Despite government efforts to reverse the trend by slapping employers with higher charges for very short contracts – often lasting just a few days – Dares said employers are still more willing to take the hit of extra costs than transforming such contracts into permanent jobs, known as CDI (Contract à Durée Indéterminé) contracts.

The agency also said the duration of short-term contracts are continuing to shrink, with about half of them lasting ten days or less in 2013, compared with 14 days or less the year before. Around a quarter of them didn’t last longer than two days, it said.

The figures come as France faces record-high unemployment levels, at 10.4 percent, mostly hitting the country’s young.

President François Hollande has said he will not stand for re-election in 2017 unless he manages to cut the unemployment rate.

His presidency seems to hinge on the so-called “responsibility pact” which will cut payroll taxes for employers by €40 billion in return for companies boosting recruitment. He has pledged to create half a million jobs by 2017.

RELATED POSTS:

Unemployment falling? The Great Statistical Con Trick
President Barack Hussein Obama in his “State Of The Union” speech earlier this week was the president’s claimed that his administration had turned the economy around and was creating millions of ‘new jobs’ every year. The US Labor Department claims the economy created 292,000 jobs in December alone … In spite of the US economy having created almost 6 million jobs over the last two years according to official figures, more Americans than ever (93 million according to estimates) are out of work.

The Great Recovery Illusion
An audience member was quickly on his feet to point out that the figure was misleading as people in zero hours contracts and part time jobs are classed as ‘in work’ to get them off the statistics. The young man could also have reminded the programmes studio and television audience that people who are out of work for two years are reclassified as ‘not economically active’ and removed from the unemployment register. Even if these people would love to work and …

Elsewhere: [Boggart Blog]…[Little Nicky Machiavelli]… [ Ian’s Authorsden Pages ]… [Scribd]…[Wikinut] … [ Boggart Abroad] … [ Grenteeth Bites ] … Ian Thorpe at Flickr ] … [ Tumblr ] … [Ian at Minds ] … [ The Original Boggart Blog] … [ Authorsden blog ]