May Will Offer Her Brexit Dire Deal For A 4th Vote because She Has No Plan B

After the Easter recess, the UK Parliament is back at work today and Brexit-related news is back in the headlines. Nothing has changed since May struck an agreement with the EU for a six-month extension of Article 50, which the EU made conditional on The Prime Minister getting her Brexit-In-Name-Only treaty accepted by British lawmakers before elections to the European Parliament in May.

Talks with tho opposition Labour Party, aimed at finding an alternative to Mrs May’s Brexit deal remain deadlocked with Labour’s insistence on a second referendum the biggest obstacle. Though the Tory and Labour representatives resumed talks on Tuesday, widely cirulated rumours suggest the talks could fall apart in the coming days.

Whatever happens with the talks is of little irrelevance because the EU has been clear that the withdrawal agreement (suspected to have ben drafted by Angela Merkel because of its one sidedness,) is the only deal it will accept. That deal has already been thrown out three times by The British House of Commons. Though the margin of defeat has shrunk in each successive vote it is still substantial. So long as the Irish Backstop, the section which would keep Norther Ireland tied to the EU while mainland Britain left, remains the immovable object blocking the deal’s progress it’s unlikely that May will be able to win over enough Brexiteers to push the deal through.

MayTheresa May looks as if she is about to throw up after hearing the latest Brexit – Picture: Zero Hedge

With few viable alternatives apart from another extension and another and another, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday, surprising absolutely no one, that May, now if not recognised as the most stupid, arrogant, stupid politician ever, surely a contender, is preparing to bring the virtually unaltered withdrawal agreement back for a fourth vote.

Just like the third vote, May will need to embrace some procedural maneuvers to satisfy Speaker Bercow’s condition that the deal must be “substantially different” than prior votes if May wants to bring it back. This time, the withdrawal agreement will come packaged in a more far-reaching withdrawal agreement bill.

And a vote could come as soon as next week.

Downing Street sources suggest a fourth vote on May’s bill could be the last chance to avoid Britain’s participating in the upcoming elections to the EU Parliament, something May had desperately sought to avoid and which would result in the anihilation of the Conservative Party bloc in the European Parliament.

If , as is probable,the bill is defeated again May would be prohibited from bringing it back for another vote until a new session of parliament begins in November.  We guess May, ever a fanatical supporter of the EU and globalism, would stubbornly try to find some kind of procedural loophole to keep bringing her deal back and keep Britain in the EU until opposition evaporates from sher fatigue.

Even if it should eventually manage to pass the Commons, there are still procedural hurdles to negotiate before Brexit could be officially delivered. The Daily Telegraph reports:

The treaty the bill is intended to implement includes provisions such as the UK’s £39bn exit payment to the EU, protection of citizens’ rights, a transition period and the so-called backstop to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland. If the legislation is rejected, as currently seems likely, the government could not reintroduce it again in this session of parliament.

“It would be quite a big thing,” admitted one ally of Mrs May. In those circumstances the bill could only be brought back if the current parliamentary session was ended.

Approval for the legislation would kick off a tortuous passage through parliament during which the bill could be amended. Attempts to add a customs union or a second referendum would be expected. Even if the bill did eventually become law, Downing Street said there would still have to be a separate “meaningful vote” on Mrs May’s deal under the terms of 2018 Brexit legislation. However, that would be expected to be a formality if MPs have already approved the bill to put the draft treaty into effect.

Whatever happens, May’s deal, along with May herself, may soon become a footnote in history. That’s because, as the Telegraph reported,  Sir Graham Brady, the leader of the influential 1922 Committee of Conservative members with no official government position, is planning to confront the boss on Tuesday and demand that she sets a date for her resignation or the party’s members will change the leadership rules to allow her to be ousted (after surviving a no confidence vote late last year, May is immune from further challenges for a year under the current rules).

Other prominent Conservatives, including Nigel Evans,  member for Ribble Valley (where I live though I didn’t vote for him,) have called on May to resign immediately.

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Is The Brexit Fiasco A Deep State Stitch Up?

by Barney Lane, posted on Quora

I think of “deep state” as being about the behind the scenes machinery of government; the inner workings of the civil service and secret negotiations of politicians.

In this piece, I argue that yes, the deep state has played its part, but the main issue is the weakness and susceptibility of our Prime Minister, to manipulation. In short, May has been soft and pliable with the EU, who know her as “Mrs No until she says Yes”, while being infuriatingly stubborn with her own party and country.

To start with, let’s consider what we know. For me, these are the relevant facts:

Leave won the 2016 referendum, Cameron resigned, the Tories appointed Theresa May as leader and Theresa May said she would deliver Brexit

Theresa May lost her majority in the 2017 General Election, meaning she would have to depend on the votes of all her own MPs plus those of the DUP to get legislation through

Theresa May sacked her advisers Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, effectively replacing them with Olly Robbins, a civil servant. Shortly afterwards, she dropped DExEU from having a lead role in the exit negotiations, putting Olly Robbins in charge

Theresa May’s first notable move in the negotiations proper, was to accept without a fight, the EU’s sequencing demands. This was a major surprise. Notes of the meeting showed the EU delegation acting both surprised and delighted. Minutes show EU officials asking for reconfirmation that this was really the UK’s position

In late 2017, Theresa May allowed talk of remaining in the customs union to resurface, doing nothing to clarify the government’s policy, which was to leave the customs union

In December 2017, Theresa May signed a political agreement giving away £39 billion and signed us up to a “backstop” that would commit the UK to remaining under EU control until it had found a way of managing the customs border in Ireland, in a way that satisfied the EU

When the political declaration was converted into legal text, Theresa May said “no British PM could sign this”. This was the only thing of note, that Theresa May said about Brexit in the first half of 2018. She later did sign it

In mid-2018, Theresa May faced a backbench rebellion attempting to force legislation to keep us in the customs union. Theresa May invited the ringleader Dominic Grieve to Downing Street to persuade him to drop his rebellion. It is understood that she made him privy to a plan that was at this stage, not widely known. Dominic Grieve promptly dropped his rebellion

In July 2018, Theresa May held the Chequers summit where she unveiled the Brexit whitepaper. She told her government, the meeting would not end until everyone had agreed to it and if anyone resigned, ministerial transport would not be available for the trip home

The whitepaper horrified some ministers, who believed it amounted to a customs union in all but name. Boris Johnson resigned. David Davis resigned

In his resignation speech, Davis criticised May for sidelining his department, which had been set up to prepare the UK for its departure from the EU, while instead favouring her own civil service adviser Olly Robbins

In replying, Theresa May said Davis’s department had not come up with a workable plan

In an article in the Telegraph, Davis replied that this was deeply disingenuous. His department had a detailed and carefully worked out plan. It was she, the PM who had chosen to ignore it while developing her own alternative plan without telling anyone

Johnson wrote in the Telegraph, that Theresa May had allowed the Ireland border to become prominent in the negotiations because she had unquestioningly accepted the EU’s framing of the issue and had not even tried to find a solution

Come December 2018, the EU published their Withdrawal Agreement (WA). It was very similar to the Chequers whitepaper, except that it lacked the May/Robbins scheme for the UK collecting tariffs on behalf of the EU. The WA’s political declaration sought a future relationship that would build upon “the single customs territory”

Minutes of the meeting where Theresa May signed the WA showed that the EU had said “The customs union will be the basis for the future relationship. The EU will retain all control”. Theresa May had signed a document that she knew the EU interpreted as implying a permanent customs union, and in which the EU would retain full control

The WA was voted down three times by Parliament. Most notably, it was voted down by Brexit-supporting MPs who believed it was “not Brexit” and by the DUP who believed it had sold out their territory

The Brady amendment gave Theresa May a mandate to renegotiate the Ireland backstop, which keeps the UK in a customs union with the EU until the EU approves the UK’s plans for managing the border

May largely ignored this mandate, saying she would not attempt a renegotiation but instead, half-heartedly said she would “seek changes”

On the basis of the above, it is reasonable to conclude that the main reason Brexit (in this incarnation) has failed, is that Theresa May changed course. While her general stance was initially to the liking of Brexit supporting MPs, her final deal, was not.

Having lost her majority in parliament, she inevitably had to work harder to reconcile the interests of her MPs, who had different opinions. However, it is clear from the above that at each node of the decision tree, she leaned towards her remainer MPs. She didn’t tell anyone this was what she was doing or why, she just did it.

Her eventual WA was a death by a thousand cuts, non-Brexit Brexit. But what happened to make her change course? That’s the key question.

By any standard, her behaviour in office has been extraordinary. Consider where the Tories were at the start. Dominic Lawson wrote about this in the Sunday Times, this morning in Brexit on a plate — and the Tories blew it. [1]

Only two years ago the Tories were united under the firm but fair leadership of the headmistressy Theresa May, Farage had been rendered irrelevant and Labour was still riven by the shock of a referendum outcome that pitted it against the very people (the industrial working class) it was formed to represent.

Thus, in February 2017, this column was headlined “Cheer Up, Mr Cameron, you won your party the greatest prize imaginable”. The former PM was being ridiculed almost daily, and yet, I argued, while the referendum result had trashed his reputation as a political winner, he was actually the accidental author of a miraculous transformation in his party’s fortunes: “Unintentionally, Cameron has achieved for the Conservatives something a string of earlier leaders signally failed to do. He has made them the party that is united over the vexed question of the UK’s relationship with the European Union and — a completely unexpected bonus — turned Labour into a house divided on this issue.”

That aged well, didn’t it? In fact the second half of that analysis still holds true and explains Labour’s continuing inability to come up with a Brexit policy that could be communicated coherently (or at all) on an election leaflet. But that column was written at the moment of the party’s greatest discomfiture, the week after parliament passed the bill to invoke article 50 — giving us just two years (ha!) to negotiate our departure from the EU. Corbyn’s three-line whip ordering his MPs to back the government’s policy led to resignations from the shadow cabinet and thousands of party members quitting in protest.

The reason Theresa May’s behaviour has been so extraordinary is that she did not need to lean towards Remain in her implementation of Brexit. The Tories were united around a clean Brexit. That was the referendum result. That was what the manifesto said. It could not have been clearer. Even those who did not agree with the result of the referendum, accepted both it and the government’s interpretation of it.

When murmurings about a “softening” of Brexit started to emerge, May could have acted to silence them, reminding her MPs of their manifesto commitments, but she did not. From a parliamentary arithmetic point of view, it was far easier for her to lean towards her Brexiteer contingent than her Remain contingent. Leaning towards her Brexiteers would not have angered her Remainers as much as leaning towards her Remainers have angered her Brexiteers. All she needed to do was to maintain existing party policy, to which all her MPs had explicitly agreed by standing for election upon its manifesto.

What happened? Theresa May is well known as someone who can be “captured” by her advisers. Who were her advisers? Before the 2017 election, her advisers were Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill — both clean Brexit advocates. After the election, her advisers were Olly Robbins and — as far as one can tell — the EU. In the past 2 years, May has spent many hours in the offices of her fellow European leaders.

Now, there’s an element of deep state at work here. An anonymous civil servant wrote an article in the Telegraph titled “Believe me, the Civil Service is trying to sink Brexit. I have seen it from the inside”[2] He or she writes:

A quick scroll though the social media accounts of my colleagues and you will find images of them proudly waving ‘Remain’ placards, campaigning for a ‘People’s Vote’, boasting ‘Jez we can’ and of course the usual apocalyptic messages of doom since the Brexit vote. The double-standards are astonishing. If I so much as followed the activities of Nigel Farage, I have no doubt that I would be called in for questioning. I re-call one conversation with a senior member of staff at the Foreign Office who told me she was ashamed when Boris Johnson was appointed Foreign Secretary as he is so “typically British”.

This department is particularly notorious for its anti-Brexit bias. My experience tells me that there is a genuine hatred of those who voted for Brexit. I recall my first day in the Civil Service as a graduate, being invited to a meeting of senior members of staff who spent the good part of two hours in agreement that the public made a “stupid” decision in the EU referendum.

Unfortunately, this bias doesn’t end with snide insults and childish quips. It goes to the root of their day-to-day work and has truly negative impacts on the way we conduct the important tasks ahead of us. I have in fact come across senior staff working on our post-Brexit relationships who openly talk down the prospect of a UK-US FTA and encourage anti-Trump hysteria. Many of them even joined the protests against the President’s visit last year. During his visit it was common to hear jokes about Trump’s assassination from the very people meant to be working with our closest ally. The only thing worse than being pro-Brexit in the Civil Service is being pro-Trump.

But it doesn’t stop there. There is a strong presence of Anglophobia, combined with cultural Marxism that runs through the civil service. It has meant that many Civil Servants, including myself, have been actively discouraged from co-operating with Think Tanks which are seen as being “too right wing” despite sharing our goal of promoting free trade. This attitude also prevails in our work with our closest allies, particularly in the Commonwealth, where we are afraid to be seen as overly keen to work with countries that are run by “rich white men”.

Contrary to popular belief, Civil Servants often shape the views of Ministers. This makes the prevalent leftist culture within the Civil Service all the more concerning. These ardent remainer and left wing civil servants are the ones who provide the briefings, select the invites and choose the priorities for Ministers. How did we get to this point? The Civil Service is one of the biggest graduate employers, whilst universities have allowed a leftist culture of political correctness to flourish in recent decades.

Brexit is the greatest opportunity this country has faced in years, yet our Government machine is currently working from within to frustrate it. This must not go on. In the next phase of the Brexit negotiations it is vital our civil service ceases to allow the massive remain voting bias that has so far helped scupper our post-Brexit future.

Add to that the misuse of Treasury resources for giving misleading information about the economic consequences of Brexit — resources that were refused to other departments requesting them for no-deal preparations — and it’s clear there’s an element of deep state at work. However, it is the weakness and stubbornness of our Prime Minister, that is the most important part of the explanation.

It’s like a disease. If you’re unhealthy and have a weakened immune system, you are more susceptible to diseases. For most healthy people, flu can be an unpleasant few days in bed. For weakened people, it can be a killer.

That the civil service has worked to frustrate Brexit is both credible and predictable. However, it is the Prime Minister’s susceptibility to it, that has led to the failure of her attempt to deliver Brexit.

Footnotes

[1] Brexit on a plate — and the Tories blew it

[2] Believe me, the Civil Service is trying to sink Brexit. I have seen it from the inside

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Did Theresa May (it rhymes with betray) plan Bexit chaos from the beginning?

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PM cancels Easter break for team negotiating with Labour in a bid to STOP Farage

Former UKIP leader Nigel Farage, who s>uccessfully lobbied for a referendum on Britain’s future in the EU and then led the Leave campaign to a surprising (but only to the political establishment and mainstream media,) victory launched his new Brexit Party this week to get MEPs elected in May now it appears certain that Mrs May’s desperate efforts to overturn the result of the democratic vote have partially succeeded by gaining a delay in the date we actually leave. However, Mrs May is even more desperate to avoid Mr Farage and his party gaining a majority of UK seats in the European Parliament and to do that she has ordered her negotiators work through Easter in a bid to cobble together a dodgy deal with Jeremy Corbyn’s far left Labour Party to get her thrice rejected ‘brexit-in-name-only” deal accepted by the House of Commons before the new 22 May deadline.

Mrs May cannot do that without Labour’s support and has infuriated her own party by betraying manifesto pledges to offer the left wing extremists of Labour sweetners that will win their support. Funny thing about the name May, it rhymes with betray.

A Downing Street source told The Sunday Mirror: “These talks have been constructive and serious and both sides want to see further progress over the Easter recess. If we can keep up the pace of negotiations, we can get a deal over the line and avoid having European elections.”

Mr Farage is dead set on winning more seats than May and Corbyn’s parties in the European Parliament election. Writing in the Sunday Express today he said: “As time has gone on, this arrogant elite has stuck two fingers up at their own manifestos, lied to the electorate, and done everything possible to thwart the result.

“They have concocted and confected all sorts of bogus arguments to try to kill Brexit. The sheer scale of their betrayal of the country is difficult to grasp.”

He has called upon people to stop supporting the establishment if they want to see the 2016 referendum result to go through.

He continued: “In light of this, the best option open to Brexiteers is to punish both of the Establishment parties and back The Brexit Party. The Conservatives and Labour have been as bad as each o.ther when it comes to choking off Brexit. In their own ways, both have connived to let down the upstanding citizens of Britain who voted to Leave in 2016“

Mr Farage has urged people to support his party in the upcoming election so that Brexit can be delivered.

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Few of you were aware probably that there is an EU referendum vote in The Netherlands this week. As usual with anything negative about the EU barely a word has been printed in the topic in mainstream media and the silence from our notionally unbiased national broadcaster The Bolshevik Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) has been deafening.

French, Belgians, Dutch, Italians Follow Britain in Euroskepticism
Europeans want us British to lead them out of Europe. Don’t be fooled by project fear, the European Union (aka the Euronazi Federal Superstate) is falling apart. There will not be chaos if we leave, there will be chaos if we stay.

Head Of European Institute: Brexit ‘Better’ For Everyone
Brexit would be the best result of Britain’s in / out referendum for both Britain and the EU i a Belgian professor who heads up the European Institute at the London School of Economics (LSE) has said.

Johnson’s article lines up his reasons why Britain must exit on June 23rd. It’s time to be brave
OK, I know a lot of you think Boris is most accurately described by a word many people find offensive, but he’s put together a very good argument here on why we must leave the EU. Published in part here under ‘fair use’ terms and conditions, in the public interest …

Rumours Of Theresa May Imminent Resignation Rife In London and Brussels.

As rumours spread like wildfire after UK Prime Minister Theresa May, who had been asked to address a meeting of her party’s representatives in parliament but rejected the invitation as the Brexit crisis deepensis preparing her resignation speech, . Ireland’s Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has fanned the flames of suspicion the Prime Minister will make a statement outside Number 10 this evening by saying he understands Theresa May will be addressing the nation tonight information leaked out that May intends to address the nation later this evening.

Downing Street has not confirmed the rumours the Prime Minister will speak to Britons live outside Number 10 this evening, although in the absence of a denial it is understood she will make some kind of important statement this evening.. The BBC’s usually reliable political reporter Laura Kuenssberg suggested should an announcement be made it could come at 8pm.

Earlier the Prime Minister is meeting leaders of all opposition parties inside her parliamentary office to discuss how she will use an Article 50 extension if it is agreed by the EU. Leaders of the Labour Party, SNP, Liberal Democrats, Green Party, Plaid Cymru and the Independent Group are understood to have been invited.

This morning, Mrs May wrote to European Council President Donald Tusk begging for a three-month Brexit delay, until June 30.

In her letter, Mrs May said she will try to get her Brexit deal passed through Parliament in a third vote “as soon as possible”.

The Prime Minister wrote: “I intend to put forward a motion as soon as possible under section 13 of the Withdrawal Act 2018 and make the argument for the orderly withdrawal and strong future partnership the UK economy, its citizens’ security and the continent’s future, demands.”

The EU immediately rejected May’s request for an Article 50 extension to 30th June, releasing a note insisting that the 23rd May is the crucial date – the day European Parliament elections are held. They say the PM can either have a “short technical extension” until 23rd May, any longer and it will have to be at least until the end of 2019 and the UK will have to participate in European Parliament elections.

French print and broadcst news organisations are reporting that President Macron is minded to veto any extension tomorrow if May cannot offer a “credible strategy” for getting a deal acceptable to the EU approved by parliament. The BBC’s Adam Fleming commented that it is too late for EU leaders to agree an extension one tomorrow as they haven’t had time to consult with national parliaments…

Whether Macron is serious remains to be seen, what is known however is that Nigel Farage, suspecting that May is planning a last minute deal that would betray the referendum result, has been lobbying Italian leader Matteo Salvini to veto an extension thus forcing a no deal exit on 29 March.  Donald Tusk has made no secret of his desire for the UK to hold a second referendum and cancel Brexit. There is no doubt that the EU27 will use any extension request to try to push the UK closer to one…

At that point it becomes the ultimate test of May’s resolve. May gambled her future on the short extension today, the EU are trying to force her into a long one with a second referendum as the price? Mr Tusk confirmed he expects a “short” extension to Article 50 would be possible but warned any delay would come with conditions.

Meanwhile, Commons speaker John Bercow has approved an emergency debate on May’s extension request, while European Council leader Donald Tusk is expected to make a statement in the near future about May’s request that Article 50 be extended until the end of June.

Theresa May’s New Contempt Of Parliament Scandal

On a day that saw her government defeated three times in House of Commons votes on key Brexit issues, a new scandal has erupted around Theresa May’s dishonest and duplicitous  mismanagement of the Brexit process. The Prime Minister has now been accused of holding secret weekly Brexit meetings with pro EU Cabinet ministers and civil servants of which no record has been made, sparking accusations of a “conspiracy to derail Brexit”.

Political advisers to the Government are said to have been increasingly concerned about the meetings especially as May has increasingly sidelined elected MPs on her negotiating team and delegated responsibility for negotiations to rabidly pro EU civil servants such as Oliver ‘Oily’ Robbins. Mrs May’s Government has relied upon various ad hoc subcommittees to deal with Brexit since Article 50 was triggered in March 2017. But since the controversial Chequers summit this summer the Prime Minister has held weekly off-the-books meetings with her core (i,e, Remain supporting,) advisers and civil servants present.

Of the secret gatherings, one source told the London Evening Standard: “In terms of democracy this feels like a scandal.”

Other members of May’s government are, like their boss, being caught out of lies they have told to try and hide the extent of their surrender to the EU on Brexit. Labour MP and ardent supporter Kate Hoey challened the Attorney General over comments made by the Secretary of State of Northern Ireland about the backstop arrangement if it is enforced after the implementation period. Conservative frontbencher Karen Bradley claimed last week legislation in Northern Ireland would remain in line with the UK if the Brexit backstop was implemented. Speaking in the House of Commons, Kate Hoey claimed the remarks from the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland were “not accurate”.

She said: “The Attorney General has been very honest I think in the downside of this backstop. That’s even without the legal advice, so we dread what would actually be in it if we did see it.

“Could I ask him about the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, who on Sunday in the Inside Northern Ireland politics with Mark Devenport, actually said ‘even if the backstop kicks in Great Britain will stick to the same rules as Northern Ireland’.

“Would the Attorney General have a word with her because she is going around Northern Ireland on a tour and saying some things which are actually not accurate, and giving the people of Northern Ireland the very wrong impression about what this agreement means.”

Mr Cox replied: “The regulatory regime in Great Britain will be a matter entirely for the Government of the United Kingdom.”

This echoed the comments made by The Prime Minister when she was questioned on the issue. Unfortunately as has now been revealed the so called backstop would leave Northern Ireland operating under EU jurisdiction and the UK could not terminate the agreement without the consent of all 27 EU member states, a move that Ireland’s government in Dublin have promised they would always veto. This is perhaps the worst aspect of the sellout deal made in secret by Theresa May (it rhymes with betray,) with the EU.

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Hypocrite May: Chastises British Parliament While She Stabs British People In The Back

Theresa May yesterday chastised the UK parliament to “listen to constituents.” She should do just that, herself. She proved herself completely delusional and unfit for office by showing she believes the British people support her sellout which will effectively make us a vassal state of the EU.

The Prime Minister said in her statement to Parliament that MPs in the House of Commons had a “duty to listen to their constituents before taking a decision in the national interest”.

When had that old tart in prostitute shoes ever listened to anyone except those who could help advance her personal interests! If she is stupid enough to believe what a few sycophantic Conservatives and EU officials determined to punish Britain for voting to leave are telling her, she has obviously not looked at the results from New Polling which shows the public kicking back against her sellout Brexit Deal.

When next asked to choose between Theresa May’s Deal or No Deal – and No Brexit– the responses hardened, delivering 57% for Leaving deal or no deal and 41% for No Brexit, with again 3% Don’t Knows.

Clearly, those polled do not want to stay in the EU. But they also do not like May’s plan.

Some Labour and some Tory MPs want a Norway or Canada option but the poll did not allow that.

Why? When it was on the table, with the EU having said either option would be acceptable, May went over the heads of her negotiators and ruled it out in favour of a dishonorable surrender on terms dictated by the EU.