With zero growth in the German economy over the final quarter of 2019 as manufacturing remained in a slump and exports fell, the wisdom of Britain’s middle and working class voters choice to leave the failing European Union was vindicated again. The German figures highlight the many challenges facing the Eurozone, which is hamstrung because it consists of 19 different economies (eith of them economic basket cases,) all needing very different solutions.
German’s state statistics agency reported today there was zero growth in the fourth quarter and a mediocre 0.6 percent increase for the whole year. And that paltry figure has only been achieved with the help of financial jiggery pokery from the European Central Bank (ECB)
Germany´s troubles are central to the economic difficulties of the 19-country eurozone economy and the European Central Bank, which has for several years been trying mask the reality of flagging growth and inflation with negative interest rates and newly printed money. Germany has been a manufacturing and export powerhouse in recent years and has propped up the rest of the sigle currency zone, but with German manufacturing in the doldrums and exports rendered uncompetitive due to increased costs imposed by ineffective and pointless “green” policies imposed on member states by Brussels, those areas have been sluggish and only debt funded consumer spending has kept the country out of recession. But debt funded spending is only ever a short term solution.
Carsten Brzeski, chief economist at ING Germany, told a German Financial Newspaper, “In general, the German economy remains stuck between solid private consumption and a paralyzed manufacturing sector.”
Slowing global trade and the uncertainty caused by the U.S.-China conflict over trade have been one problem. Another is structural change in industry, particularly the auto business, where companies must sink billions into developing electric cars and new services based on smartphone apps, both to meet regulatory pressure for lower greenhouse gas emissions and to head off competition from from the tech sector.
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