What Are The Mathematical Modellers Really Modelling (the answer might not surprise you)

My Twitter conversation with the chairman of the Sage Covid modelling committee

by Fraser Nelson, The Spectator, 27 December 2021

18 December 2021, 8:03pm

Professor Graham Medley (photo: BBC)

The latest Sage papers have been published, envisaging anything from 200 to 6,000 deaths a day from Omicron depending on how many more restrictions we’ll get — up to and very much including another lockdown. Earlier today I had an unexpected chance to ask questions of Graham Medley, the chair of the Sage modelling committee. 

He’s a professor at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) which last weekend published a study on Omicron with very gloomy scenarios and making the case for more restrictions. But JP Morgan had a close look at this study and spotted something big: all the way through, LSHTM assumes that the Omicron variant is just as deadly as Delta. ‘But evidence from South Africa suggests that Omicron infections are milder,’ JP Morgan pointed out in a note to clients. Adjust for this, it found, and the picture changes dramatically:“Bed occupancy by Covid-19 patients at the end of January would be 33% of the peak seen in January 2021. This would be manageable without further restrictions.

So JP Morgan had shown that, if you tweak one assumption (on severity) then — suddenly — no need for lockdown.

Why was this scenario left out? Why would this fairly important and fairly basic fact on Omicron modelling not presented by Sage modellers like Professor Medley to ministers — and to the general public? I was thrilled for the chance to speak to him on Twitter. It was kind of him to make the time (he’s still going, as far as I can make out). The Spectator data hub has a page devoted to past Sage modelling vs actual, and I wanted to make sure I was not being unfair to Sage in my selection or presentation of those charts.

The latest Sage paper-drop — the 6,000-deaths-a-day one — refers to ‘scenarios,’ not predictions. Professor Medley emphasises the distinction: saying something could happen is not saying that there’s a realistic chance of it happening. But then why do Sage modellers publish some scenarios and not others?

Read the full twitter thread (with interjections from third parties) HERE or go to The Spectator website and see it embedded in Fraser Nelson’s article – Boggart Blog editor

Apologies for the language at the end, but it was the last tweet that he replied to on this thread.

Revealingly, he seemed to think my question odd: if it’s quite plausible that Omicron is mild and doesn’t threaten the NHS, what would be the point of including that as a ‘scenario’? He seemed to suggest that he has been given a very limited brief, and asked to churn out worse-case scenarios without being asked to comment on how plausible they are.“We generally model what we are asked to model. There is a dialogue in which policy teams discuss with the modellers what they need to inform their policy.

Might this remit mean leaving out just-as-plausible, quite-important scenarios that would not require lockdown? “Decision-makers are generally on only interested in situations where decisions have to be made.

Note how careful he is to stay vague on whether any of the various scenarios in the Sage document are likely or even plausible. What happened to the original system of presenting a ‘reasonable worse-case scenario’ together with a central scenario? And what’s the point of modelling if it doesn’t say how likely any these scenarios are?

From what Professor Medley says, it’s unclear that the most-likely scenario is even being presented to ministers this time around. So how are they supposed to make good decisions? I highly doubt that Sajid Javid is only asking to churn out models that make the case for lockdown. That instruction, if it is being issued, will have come from somewhere else.

Professor Robert Dingwall, until recently a JCVI expert, has said that Medley’s candour reveals ‘a fundamental problem of scientific ethics in Sage’ — ie, a hardwired negativity bias.  ‘The unquestioning response to the brief is very like that of SPI-B’s behavioural scientists,’ he says and suggests that the Covid inquiry looks into all this.

At a time when we have just been given a new set of ‘scenarios’ for a new year lockdown it might be good if someone — if not Professor Medley — would clear up what assumptions lie behind the new 6,000-a-day-dead scenario, and if emerging information from South Africa about Omicron and its virulence have been taken into account. And how probable it is that a double-jabbed and increasingly boosted nation (with 95 per cent antibody coverage) could see this worst-case scenario come to pass.

In my view, this raises serious questions not just about Sage but about the quality of the advice used to make UK lockdown decisions. And the lack of transparency and scrutiny of that advice. The lives of millions of people rests on the quality of decisions, so the calibre of information supplied matters rather a lot — to all of us.

I’ve asked Professor Medley to come on Spectator TV, to have a longer conversation outside Twitter. He has written for us before so I hope he accepts. For now, although I often curse the platform, I should thank Twitter for giving me the chance to ask some questions of someone so well-placed in such an important issue.

author credit: Fraser Nelson, The Spectator

A few weeks ago this blog reported a Swedish study which showed that natural immunity provides much better protection against infection by the SARS2-COV virus which causes COVID (COrona VIrus Disease,) than the Pfizer vaccine which is currently hyped as the most effective on the market, though it is no more effective than the others at provinding immunity. The more responsible voices in mainstream media that actually reported the story described by the news as “a bit of a bombshell”.
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Study: At least 400,000 people in America have died from covid “vaccines”

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German Schoolchildren Subjected To ‘Ritual Humiliation’ Over Their Vaccine Status
December 12<
As this blog has been telling you for a few years now, The Nazis are back in Germany. With these sausage scoffing krauts it’s not a case of ‘do as we say, not as we do,’ but “DO AS WE SAY OR WE WILL MARGINALIZE YOUR KIDS AND FINE YOU INO POVERTY. Only a matter of time until the National Socialist coalition’s thugs start kicking door in and dragging those who are not fully vaxxed (two shosts plus all obligatory boosters,) off to internment camps. VACCINE MACHT FRIE.

#211115-doctors”>
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UK Researchers report COVID Shots “Appear To Expose People To An Increased Mortality’

Mac Slavo
December 15th, 2021
SHTFplan.com

Researchers from Queen Mary University in London (QMUL) have discovered anomalies in COVID-19 vaccine data. These anomalies appear to be indicating that the narrative supporting the effectiveness of the jabs is “massively exaggerated” and that the vaccines expose recipients to a risk of “increased mortality.” 

The most likely factor for the erroneous statistics has to do with government authorities misclassifying those who have died within 14 days of a COVID injection as “unvaccinated.” We have reported on this many times.  The way the rulers continue to collect the data is absolutely abysmal, sinister, and very sadistic. It’s being done in a way to push a narrative of fear in order to force these “vaccines” on all of us. Reports are coming out that many recipients of these shots are already showing signs of vaccine-induced acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (VAIDS), which would indicate an increase in mortality. 

Comparison of Official Government Reports Suggest Fully Vaccinated Are Developing Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome

Cases of Vaccine-Induced VAIDS on the Rise Due to Mass COVID Vaccination

Dr. Norman Fenton, a Professor in Risk Information Management at QMUL and a lead author of the study, provided a broad framework of his team’s research in a December 4 radio interview:

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I never thought that saying there are two biological sexes would cause such a stir.

We bring you this in the interests of free speech, the full article – an interesting read – is available by following the link at the end of this extract.

by Mark Jenkinson MP, Conservative, Workington

“Transwomen are women”: it sounds innocuous enough, why wouldn’t you say it? Most of us never set out to hurt anyone intentionally if we can avoid it, and it’s an inclusive statement. If that’s what it takes to make someone feel accepted, then what’s the harm?

It’s only when you scratch the surface that you start to see how much harm those innocuous three words can do – that the people we harm when we set out to erase the notion of biological sex are the most vulnerable, the LGB community and women.

So why, then, is a white, heterosexual male writing about transgender issues?

Because last week I was thrust into a Twitterstorm for saying that I would stand up for the hard-won rights of women and the LGB community – for saying that it isn’t people like me who are impacted by the erasure of biological sex, but women – who are then expected to share their safe-spaces with male-bodied people, and those who are same-sex attracted.

After all, if there is no such thing as biological sex and only our chosen gender identity, there is no valid reason for a lesbian to refuse to sleep with a male-bodied woman. That leaves only bigotry as her excuse.

It was after this statement that Britain’s first transgender newsreader said she’d stand against me in Workington in the next election. I welcome the challenge, and I wish more of my detractors would put a ballot paper where their mouths are, but she went on to block me without any further discussion. A bad start, I fear.

I never considered that making a statement of indisputable scientific fact – that there are only two biological sexes, each with their own set of immutable characteristics – would cause such a stir. And then I see the Labour Party eating themselves alive over it, trying hard to lose the votes of the 51 per cent of the electorate that are female.

There is no doubt that gender dysphoria exists, but no-one is born in the wrong body – your body is exactly as nature intended. For some people, there is a definite disconnect between their brain and their body and, for a much smaller number, the only thing that will allow a full and happy life is cross-sex hormones or surgery. Those people need our support.

I am concerned that the upcoming Gender Conversion Therapy Bill will criminalise practitioners and parents that don’t simply affirm their child’s chosen gender. Data tells us that the majority of gender-dysphoric children desist into adulthood. We must stop prescribing irreversible puberty blockers to children – which not only have a significant impact on their lives if they desist, but which create further problems should they go on to have surgery to complete their transition.

I am an instinctive libertarian. Everyone should be free to live their lives, as fully as possible and in a way that makes them happy. Free to live with, sleep with and love whomever they wish. Neither the state or I have any business intervening, other than to stop serious harms. But when I see the direction we’re sleepwalking in, I can no longer stay quiet.

Between 2012 and 2018, 436 women were charged with rape. OK, you say: there were over 29,000 people charged with rape in that period, of course some of those are going to be women. And then I tell you that rape in the UK can only be committed with a penis. Those 436 women had penises. … Continue reading >>>

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Scientists want to insert ‘their mark’, be called ‘your creator’ and ‘own you’

We’ve said it before and we’ll no doubt say it again, scientists are dangerous. Ranging from the downright stupid (climate scientists, to the unashamedly neo – Nazi (cOVID vaccines eugenicists) to the criminally psychopathic (the transgender mob who believe their irresponsible tinkering with the human genome will create a race of superbeings.
This post concerns the latter group:

by Richard Willet, 27 July 2021

“When we’re modifying the genome of an organism we can put our signature, our name, into the genome.” – “What is God? God creates. Well, we can create now.” – “We deserve to be credited for our work. We have lobbyists in politics and the courts to make sure the patenting and owning of parts of the human genome continues.”

Not word for word but, these are recollections by Dr. Carrie Madej of remarks made by Dr. Craig Venter of the Human Genome Project during a speech in 2014.  Dr. Venter also talked about how vaccines could be useful to modify people’s genomes.  Dr. Madej discusses this during an interview, watch HERE (starting at 45 mins).

In 2010, on creating the world’s first synthetic life form Dr. Venter said, “the achievement heralds the dawn of a new era in which new life is made to benefit humanity, starting with bacteria that churn out biofuels, soak up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and even manufacture vaccines.” Dr. Venter’s technology paved the way for designer organisms to be built rather than be allowed to naturally evolve, and he owns the patent.

In 2018, Dr. Charles Morgan gave a presentation to cadets at West Point, U.S. Military Academy. He covered a range of topics including psychology, neurobiology, and the science of humans at war. It is a mind-blowing presentation and well worth the one-hour watch, follow this LINK.

Starting at around 28 mins, Dr. Morgan discusses work being done by Dr. Venter stating, “[his] work is, in my view, the equivalent of the development of nuclear weapons when you realise that he created life in a cell back in 2010.”

Dr. Venter’s technology paired with CRISPR enables “you to engineer anything you like”, for example: designer medicine and therapy, or, a unique thing that would only kill one person in the world.  This is because “you put in a specific gene slicing, you program what you like, you put it in the cell and it can reproduce and make as much as you like.” Dr. Morgan continues, “You can create a designer receptor.  You can create a cell, you can put it somewhere in the body, and you can remotely activate it when the brain is exposed to the right signal.”  Using this technology memories have been transferred from one fruit fly to another by signaling, through a light stimulus, into the retina.

Read More: Scientists want to insert ‘their mark’, be called ‘your creator’ and ‘own you’

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The Science Suggests a Wuhan Lab Leak

The Covid-19 pathogen has a genetic footprint that has never been observed in a natural coronavirus.

By Steven Quay and Richard Muller, Wall Street Journal June 6, 2021

The possibility that the pandemic began with an escape from the Wuhan Institute of Virology is attracting fresh attention. President Biden has asked the national intelligence community to redouble efforts to investigate.

Much of the public discussion has focused on circumstantial evidence: mysterious illnesses in late 2019; the lab’s work intentionally supercharging viruses to increase lethality (known as “gain of function” research). The Chinese Communist Party has been reluctant to release relevant information. Reports based on U.S. intelligence have suggested the lab collaborated on projects with the Chinese military.

But the most compelling reason to favor the lab leak hypothesis is firmly based in science. In particular, consider the genetic fingerprint of CoV-2, the novel coronavirus responsible for the disease Covid-19. 

In gain-of-function research, a microbiologist can increase the lethality of a coronavirus enormously by splicing a special sequence into its genome at a prime location. Doing this leaves no trace of manipulation. But it alters the virus spike protein, rendering it easier for the virus to inject genetic material into the victim cell. Since 1992 there have been at least 11 separate experiments adding a special sequence to the same location. The end result has always been supercharged viruses.

A genome is a blueprint for the factory of a cell to make proteins. The language is made up of three-letter “words,” 64 in total, that represent the 20 different amino acids. For example, there are six different words for the amino acid arginine, the one that is often used in supercharging viruses.

A genome is a blueprint for the factory of a cell to make proteins. The language is made up of three-letter “words,” 64 in total, that represent the 20 different amino acids. For example, there are six different words for the amino acid arginine, the one that is often used in supercharging viruses. Every cell has a different preference for which word it likes to use most.

In the case of the gain-of-function supercharge, other sequences could have been spliced into this same site. Instead of a CGG-CGG (known as “double CGG”) that tells the protein factory to make two arginine amino acids in a row, you’ll obtain equal lethality by splicing any one of 35 of the other two-word combinations for double arginine. If the insertion takes place naturally, say through recombination, then one of those 35 other sequences is far more likely to appear; CGG is rarely used in the class of coronaviruses that can recombine with CoV-2.

In fact, in the entire class of coronaviruses that includes CoV-2, the CGG-CGG combination has never been found naturally. That means the common method of viruses picking up new skills, called recombination, cannot operate here. A virus simply cannot pick up a sequence from another virus if that sequence isn’t present in any other virus.

Although the double CGG is suppressed naturally, the opposite is true in laboratory work. The insertion sequence of choice is the double CGG. That’s because it is readily available and convenient, and scientists have a great deal of experience inserting it. An additional advantage of the double CGG sequence compared with the other 35 possible choices: It creates a useful beacon that permits the scientists to track the insertion in the laboratory.

Now the damning fact. It was this exact sequence that appears in CoV-2. Proponents of zoonotic origin must explain why the novel coronavirus, when it mutated or recombined, happened to pick its least favorite combination, the double CGG. Why did it replicate the choice the lab’s gain-of-function researchers would have made?

Yes, it could have happened randomly, through mutations. But do you believe that? At the minimum, this fact—that the coronavirus, with all its random possibilities, took the rare and unnatural combination used by human researchers—implies that the leading theory for the origin of the coronavirus must be laboratory escape.

When the lab’s Shi Zhengli and colleagues published a paper in February 2020 with the virus’s partial genome, they omitted any mention of the special sequence that supercharges the virus or the rare double CGG section. Yet the fingerprint is easily identified in the data that accompanied the paper. Was it omitted in the hope that nobody would notice this evidence of the gain-of-function origin?

But in a matter of weeks virologists Bruno Coutard and colleagues published their discovery of the sequence in CoV-2 and its novel supercharged site. Double CGG is there; you only have to look. They comment in their paper that the protein that held it “may provide a gain-of-function” capability to the virus, “for efficient spreading” to humans.

There is additional scientific evidence that points to CoV-2’s gain-of-function origin. The most compelling is the dramatic differences in the genetic diversity of CoV-2, compared with the coronaviruses responsible for SARS and MERS.

Both of those were confirmed to have a natural origin; the viruses evolved rapidly as they spread through the human population, until the most contagious forms dominated. Covid-19 didn’t work that way. It appeared in humans already adapted into an extremely contagious version. No serious viral “improvement” took place until a minor variation occurred many months later in England. Read full article >>>

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Pfizer COVID vaccine killed 40 times more old people than the virus itself would have – Report

March 4, 2021
posted by The Defender The experimental Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19) vaccines from Pfizer that were rushed into production and distribution via Donald Trump’s “Operation Warp Speed” program are killing far more elderly people than the so-called “virus” itself would have. A re-analysis of data provided by the Israeli Health Ministry concluded that Pfizer and BioNTech’s messenger … Useless Drugs And Vaccines – Lying Science Whores. Told You SoUseless Drugs And Vaccines – Lying Science Whores. Told You So Dr. Offit, mandatory vaccine and conflicts of interest Do vaccines make you gay? Zika Virus Outbreak Centred On Area Where GM Mosquitos Were Released In 2015 – Why Are We Not Surprised The Left Scream About Their Opponents Intolerance But Who Is Really Intolerant Doctors, scientists greased by Big Pharma? Told you so. Weaponised Ebola Virus? The World Always Cathches Up Eventually? Meningitis B Vaccine – cost conundrum Flu Vaccines that don’t work and healthy natural alternatives that work Fear and Painc! Mild Illness Suddenly Becomes A Killer Now Vaccine Is Available. Health Authorities Now Admit Severe Side Effects Of Vaccines Conflicts of interest in vaccine industry
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California: The Medical Police State
Fear And Panic Takes Hold As Zika Virus spreads Like Wildfire
Swine Flu Scam Exposed: Useless Drugs And Vaccines – Lying Science Whores
Mosquitos, Mad Scientists and Ethics

Regulator orders Dr. to stop writing about health benefits of vitamin D… because knowledge is the enemy of tyranny

from News Target, 6 April 2021

Picture: Newstarget.com

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the Center for Science in the Public Interest (CSPI) are on a witch hunt against Dr. Joseph Mercola, who was threatened to stop writing about the health benefits of vitamin D in warding off respiratory illnesses like the Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19).

Last summer, CSPI launched a social media campaign that aimed to put an immediate end to Mercola.com, the longtime health information website of Dr. Mercola. Not long after, the FDA issued Dr. Mercola a warning letter “to stop writing about nutritional products that can lower your risk of respiratory infections such as COVID-19.”

CSPI, in case you are unfamiliar with it, is a so-called “consumer advocacy group” bankrolled by the likes of Bill and Melinda Gates, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Rockefeller Family Fund, Bloomberg Philanthropies, and other deep state organizations advancing a global eugenics agenda.

CSPI is also partnered with Monsanto. Several years back, Gregory Jaffe, the group’s director of biotechnology, issued a statement declaring that mandatory labeling of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) should not happen because it would be “confusing” and “misleading” for consumers.

“CSPI rails against published science demonstrating certain nutrients can boost your immune function and help lower your risk of severe infection, saying it discourages mask-wearing, which has no published scientific evidence to back its universal use,” Dr. Mercola further explains.

“CSPI has a history of promoting industry science and propaganda, having supported artificial sweeteners, trans fats, GMOs, fake meat and the low-fat myth. They’ve also actively undermined transparency in labeling efforts.”

Being the fighter that he is, Dr. Mercola did not back down in the face of FDA aggression. In fact, he told the FDA off while asserting his First Amendment right to free speech, which he has been exercising for decades in the interest of promoting human health and longevity. … Continue reading at News Target >>>

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CDC Admits as Many as 30 Million Americans Could be at Risk for Cancer Due to Polio Vaccine
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Health Authorities Now Admit Severe Side Effects Of VaccinesA few years ago anybody who questioned vaccines, whether the notorious MMR jab, swine flu vaccine, the HPV jab or the government’s plans to make vaccination compulsory by law was subjected to a witch hunt. Recently U.S. courts and courts in Europe have awareded multi million dollar / pound settlements to those damaged by the MMR vaccine. Now we learn that several governments have admitted vaccines can have very serious side effects.
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Government Spending Cuts Hit NHSGovernment spending cuts will stretch the NHS and social care services in England to the limit, according to a report by the Commons Health Select Committee. The committe of MPs say the plans assume efficiency savings on a scale never before seen in the NHS, or in other countries. Steven Dorrell, chair of the committee, said the NHS had to save 4% per annum for four years – a “huge target”.

UK To Ask Citizens Over 70 To Self – Isolatate For 4 MONTHS As Coronavirus Fails To Kill Zillions UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock today confirmed the government plans to ask people aged over 70 to isolate themselves for up to four months amid a coronavirus pandemic. The goal is to protect them. It’s quite obvious to us, experienced bloggers that we are, that the government, civil service, law encorgement and national security agencies and all the assorted experts and talking heads have forgotten the lesson our generation learned from The Hitch Hiker’s Guide To The Galaxy …

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University free speech society told free speech a ‘red risk’, external speakers must be vetted

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One quickly tires of Labour Party candidates and their supporters claiming the “The Wicked Conservatiovs plan to sell the NHS to private enterprise. They’ve been at it again throughout the current election cycle, and of course there is no more truth in the claims than there ever was before. But the lefties forget, as they glefully point at any conservatives whose heads appears over the parapet, yelling “Witches, burn them,” that the Labour government, between 1997 and 2010 under the traitor and war criminal Tony Blair privatised much of the NHS.

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Mother jailed for child cruelty after rejecting NHS care to seek treatment at foreign clinic for teenager’s hormone therapy
from: The Ledbury Reporter:
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Christmas Cancelled? Boris To Impose A New Lockdown

The Masked Puppet? Picture: AFP / Getty Image

Information leaked from government sources reveals Boris Johnson plans to impose a second national lockdown in England next week, as government models predict a deadly second wave of the Chinese coronavirus in the winter.

Mr Johnson will reportedly address the nation on Monday to announce the new lockdown measures, which are anticipated to run from next Wednesday until the first of December.

A new “stay at home” order, as well as the closure of all non-essential businesses, including pubs and restaurants, are believed to be in the new national lockdown measures. “Educational settings” such as schools, universities, and colleges are said to be exempt from the restrictions, however.

So let’s get this straight, the advice offered by “scientists” that a new lockdown is needed to stop the “second wave” is based on a mathematical model of the pandemic. Well the first lockdown, which ludicrously overstated the likely consequences of the pandemic, was also based on predictions from mathematical models, and obviously it did not work or we wouldn’t be needing a second lockdown. One has to wonder which group is collectively more insane, scientists or politicians. As the fuckwith scientists have so much confidence in mathematical models perhaps we should all comply with a mathematical model of a lockdown, i.e. carry on as normal, use cash so our transactions cannot be recorded and leave our smartphones at home so our movements cannot be tracked.

As politicians are so fond of banging on about human rights it’s time we let them know we will not tolerate being denied our human rights any longer.

BTW if any business tells you they’re not accepting cash, tell them you are not offering anything else. Might get a couple of knockbacks but if a small percentage of us start doing it businesses will soon get the message.

But back to the second lockdown and those mathematical models. A government source told The Times: “The data is really bad. We’re seeing coronavirus rising all over the country and hospitals are struggling to cope. There has been a shift in our position.” Unfortunately this kind of bureaucratic obfuscation hides the truth of lockdown’s consequences

Report: Cancer Patients Decry Deadly Delays and Cancellations Due to Focus on Covid https://t.co/zHMUbNya4G

Breitbart London

The government has, according to reports, been reluctant to impose another national lockdown, having warned that it could result in a “Hotel California” scenario in which there is no end in sight to the lockdown once it is set in place. Unfortunately the “science” community, funded by the corporate pirates of the Big Pharma cartel and insane, power addicted sociopaths like Bill Gates and George Soros have an agenda that would be well served by a permanent lockdown.Members of the scientific advisory panel have warned the Prime Minister, that with the rising cases (athough deaths from COVI are almost zero,), local lockdowns or even a two-week “circuit breaker” lockdown will be insufficient, and NHS hospitals will be overwhelmed. Haven’t we heard all that before?

The problem for government here is that few people trust “the science” or the fake scientists who are advising Boris Johnson. We know the tests which are identifying this rising number of “cases” is useless because it was not designed to be used as a diagnostic tool, we know that a “case” merely refers to someone who is carrying a trace of the viral DNA (and COVID19 shares much of its DNA with other strains of coronavirus which have infected people every year in recorded history but never prompted a lockdown, we know that COVID does not kill people because the World Health Organisation has admitted that 99% of people whose deaths were recorded as “with COVID-19” had concurrent serious illnesses.

So why this phase 2 Fear and Panic crisis

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Extinction Rebellion Wants To Destroy Civilization, Not Just Fossil Fuels

Extinction Rebellion protest gridlocks a city centre (Picture: canadiandimension.com )

While the dark forces of globalism continue to distract us with new and ever more ridiculous scare stories about the COVID – 19 outbreak, sinister things are going on in our world. Democracy anf civil liberties are under attack and governments that should be upholding the law are surrendering control of our streets and institutions to terrorist organisations like Black Lives Matter and Extinction Rebellion, both of which are Marxist revolutionary groups sworn to overthrow democracy . The headlines scream “3000 new COVID cases cases today but mainstream news does not mention Black Lives Matter’s latest attempt to rewrite hisory by removing exhipibs and material relating to Charles Darwin from the Natural History Museum. Is that a story that does not deserve a mention?

OK, as we all know this disease causes the body to produce the same antibodies as the common cold, it is not surprising that the more people we test, the more false positives there will be. However we all know, or should by now, that 97.5% of people who test positive will as worst only develop the mildest of symptoms. Meanwhile the crusties of EkSTINKtion rebellion contrinue with their agenda of disrupting business and public life without comment from political leaders, except for Nigel Farage, and seemingly without hinderance from the police

Since its formation in 2018, Extinction Rebellion’s agenda has not been to operate as a branch of the Greta Thunberg fan club, but to overthrow democratic government and the rule of law. In view of the latest wave of disuption and the collaboration with Black Lives Matter it is obvious that the group is more than just a rebranded version of the environmentalist movement’s extremist fringe.

Such facts are not lost on the average punter, it is not just the offensive body odour of these unwashed posh kids as they play at rebellion, their antics have alienated rather than won the hearts and minds of the general public. Maybe public opprobium is a price they are willing to pay in return for the publicity and inevitable invitations to supply panellists for the politically biased panels of BBC debate programmes. And they have surely worked out that their extremist ideas (so far left they are to the right of Genghis Khan,) are not going to win any democratic votes so supporting the extention of authoritarian measures introduced ostensibly to contain the pandemic on the basis that only authoritarian global government can save the planet is a logical step for them.

You may agree, that depends on what you think Extinction Rebellion believe and want. The self-righteousness that permeates their direct action – a cutish form of zealotry which convinces XR supporters that they have the right to stop patients getting to hospitals, or to dictate what newspapers their fellow citizens should be allowed to read – isn’t accidental it is expedient. They saw how project fear worked for pandemic promoters and think similar bullying will work for their own Marxist agenda.

Unlike previous generations of the environmentalist movement who sought to persuade people to their cause by peacefully arguing their case, and whose only threatening tactic was to offer you a bowl of lentil casserole, XR prides itself on extremism, and leaders have even gone on record as saying if the authorities refuse to yield to their demands they will resort to violence to get what they want. The tactics deployed by the so-called “rebellion” were the first sign of a different attitude.

XR’s appetite for direct action gained media attention if not public support. A series of politically motivated stunts which disrupted public life, closing roads and rail links for example, made the organisation notorious and established its activist credentials, and gave participants the proverbial fifteen minutes of fame which they obviously relished, apart from the guy who was pulled off the roof of a London Underground train by an angry crowd of inconvenienced workers at Canning Town).

One prominent XR activist, Donnachadh McCarthy, justified the recent disruption of newspaper distribution by claiming that: “This is like World War Two and you guys [the newspapers] are on the other side… It puts you on the side of the existential threat. It is a different existential threat but it is a bigger one than the Nazis.”

Such rhetoric shows that XR’s rebellion is not in support of the interests of ordinary people but is an ideologically driven

Such rhetoric shows that XR’s rebellion is not in support of the interests of ordinary people but is an ideologically driven extremist cult supported by a tiny minority of people determined to impose their world view on the majority. People who believe that they and their allies represent the forces of good in the Manichaean struggle with evil – a struggle in which defeat means the death of the very world, that the battle they are waging is in support of a higher authority (in the case science rather than God, but the zealotry of XR followers suggests science has become a god to them,) then it should surprise nobody that these crusaders do not care about the approval of fellow citizens, or care about their democratic or human rights.

The freedom of people to move freely around towns and the country, commute to work, buy a newspaper or watch a balanced political debate on TV is obviously secondary to saving the panet and all life forms it supports, so why would XR warriors think twice about stripping us of those rights along with the right to vote and the right to think for ourselves and freely express our opinions, even if the “science” they have turned into their god and claim informs their agenda is as shaky as a skyscraper in an earthquake?

The lives and freedoms of us ordinary punters are merely collateral damage to the XR zealots, we are “on the wrong side of history,” in the words of their bizarre language that always sounds as if every word is scripted for them by some mad Marxist sociology professor . As for people brave enough to challenge the established truths of the Extinction Rebellion, unconscionable neo – Nazi murders of babies and small, furry animals that we are, the right to freedom of expression is not merely an evidence of a need for re-education, but a likely trigger for a medieval witch hunt culminating in the thinker of heretical thoughts being surrounded by an angry mob demanding the ultimate penalty.

Extremists are always humourless of course so predictably XR supporters do not see the irony in tagging their campaign of preventing people from reading newspapers and demanding the silencing of researchers and commentators with whom it disagrees was tagged #FreeTheTruth.

This cultish quasi – religious fanaticism really gets scary when you consider the kind of world their ultimate victory would lead us into. If you know about “Uncle Joe” Stalin’s murderous purges or Chairman Mao’s cultural revolution you know what I mean, if not you should read some history on these regimes and if you find academic history a bit heavy there are many well researched fictional works which paint a clear picture: Ken Follett’s Winter of The World and David Mitchell’s Ghost Written are good places to start. When the far – right left talk of revolutionary alteration of our society, institutions and economy – “system change, not climate change” – they mean it. The have no vision for the future, only a conviction that the present is bad and must be destroyed. And as happened in Soviet Russia and Communist China, when the old order is destroyed by violent revolution the tyrants are always ready to step out of the shadows and fill the void.

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Billionaire Investor Erik Prince Launches Fund For Electric Car Metals

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Why Are The World Government Schemes, Agenda 21 and Agends 30 blanked by big media?
Since the early days on the old blog.co.uk platform we have from time to time raised the issues of Agenda 21 and Agenda 30, The New World Order, and the push for a global, authoritarian, socialist government. Any mention of these things in online forums is certain to get the author accused of being a conspiracy theorist, a right wing extremist, a nutcase, a young earth creationist and much worse.

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Greta Thunberg Slams Australia for Coal Industry, Expands List of Climate Demands
Little Greta Thunberg, who was elected by nobody apparently now speaks for us all on matters relating to climate change. The Swedish climate change hustler who is making a fortune for her handlers from donations to her campaign, again castigated Australia for continuing to mine and export coal despite her previous complaints, adding a call for an end worldwide to the actibity to her list of climate demands to be delivered at the upcoming World Economic Forum in Davos …

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I’ve had many arguments with the Warmageddonists, the people who have been saying that if we did not shut down all coal, oil and gas related activites the earth was going to turn into a giant furnace and we would all burn. When the scaremongering first started, the deadline for frying was “after dinner”. Then it got to “Tomorrow …… or the day after tomorrow perhaps,” then “next year”, “before 2050,” and eventually “soon.”

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If our view of reality is shaped by the mind and our perceptions of information, how successful are attempts to manipulate the perceptions of the whole populations through manipulated data, spin and assertions of authority likely to be. As scientists and politicians moan that the public no longer take sertiously climate change scare stories, we have to conclude, not very.

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A private case going through a British court of arbitration at the moment involves two very large supply organisations. Unfortunately the case is being heard away from the prying eyes and radar like ears of the media. A 1996 Act Of Parliament enabled such things as a way to free up Court time taken up by complex technical disputes…. And, perhaps, to keep embarrassing truths away from …

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The Two Faces Of The Politics Of Failure
What a mess the modern way of doing politics based on a politically correct consensus and social engineering has produced. The daily stirrer looks at how the bipolar left – right divide stops things getting better rather than helping get the developed world back on track.

Green Policies Will Not Save The Planet But Are Costing Poor Families The Earth>
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Renowned EU Scientist: COVID-19 Was Engineered In China Lab, Effective Vaccine “Unlikely”

Authored by Steven Mosher via LifeSiteNews.com,

It will not be possible for the Dr. Fauci’s of the world to dismiss Professor Giuseppe Tritto as a crank. 

Not only is he an internationally known expert in biotechnology and nanotechnology who has had a stellar academic career, but he is also the president of the World Academy of Biomedical Sciences and Technologies (WABT), an institution founded under the aegis of UNESCO in 1997.

In other words, he is a man of considerable stature in the global scientific community.  Equally important, one of the goals of WABT is to analyze the effect of biotechnologies – like genetic engineering – on humanity.

In his new book, this world-class scientist does exactly that.  And what he says is that the China Virus definitely wasn’t a freak of nature that happened to cross the species barrier from bat to man.  It was genetically engineered in the Wuhan Institute of Virology’s P4 (high-containment) lab in a program supervised by the Chinese military.

Prof. Tritto’s book, which at present is available only in Italian, is called Cina COVID 19: La Chimera che ha cambiato il Mondo (China COVID 19: The chimera that changed the world).  It was published on August 4 by a major Italian press, Edizioni Cantagalli, which coincidentally also published the Italian edition of one of my books, Population Control (Controllo Demografico in Italian) several years ago.

What sets Prof. Tritto’s book apart is the fact that it demonstrates – conclusively, in my view – the pathway by which a PLA-owned coronavirus was genetically modified to become the China Virus now ravaging the world.  His account leaves no doubt that it is a “chimera”, an organism created in a lab. 

He also connects the dots linking the Wuhan lab to France and the United States, showing how both countries provided financial and scientific help to the Chinese as they began to conduct ever more dangerous bioengineering experiments.  Although neither American nor French virologists are responsible for the end result—a highly infectious coronavirus and a global pandemic—their early involvement may explain why so many insist that the “chimera” must have come from nature.  The last thing they want to admit is that they might have had a hand in it.

Those of us who, early on, argued for a laboratory origin were dismissed as conspiracy theorists. Our articles were censored as “fake news,” often by American virologists who knew perfectly well what the truth was, but preferred to protect China, and themselves, from scrutiny lest they themselves be implicated.

Dr. Tritto’s 272 pages of names, dates, places, and facts leaves such apologists with no place to hide.

The story begins following the SARS epidemic of 2003, as the Chinese attempt to develop vaccines to combat the deadly disease.  Dr. Shi Zhengli, about whom I have previously written, was in charge of the program at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.

In vaccine development, reverse genetics is used to create viral strains that have reduced pathogenicity but to which the immune system responds by creating antibodies against the virus. But reverse genetics can also be used to create viral strains that have increased pathogenicity.  That is what Dr. Shi, encouraged by PLA bioweapons experts, began increasingly to focus her research on, according to Prof. Tritto.

Dr. Shi first solicited help from the French government, which built the P4 lab, and from the country’s Pasteur institute, which showed her how to manipulate HIV genomes. The gene insertion method used is called “reverse genetics system 2.”  Using this method, she inserted an HIV segment into a coronavirus discovered in horseshoe bats to make it more infectious and lethal.

The U.S. was involved as well, particularly Prof Ralph S. Baric, of the University of North Carolina, who was on the receiving end of major grants from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease.  This is, of course, Dr. Anthony Fauci’s shop.  Fauci was a big proponent of “gain of function” research, and when this was prohibited at Baric’s lab because it was considered to be too dangerous, the research was shifted to China.

Prof. Tritto believes that, while Dr. Shi’s research began as an effort to develop a vaccine against SARS, it gradually morphed into an effort to use “reverse genetics” to build lethal biological weapons.  This was the reason that the Wuhan lab became China’s leading center for virology research in recent years, attracting major funding and support from the central government.

I would add that the rule in Communist-controlled China is “let the civilian support the military,” which means that as soon as Dr. Shi’s research showed any potential military uses the PLA would have begun exercising control of the research.  This came out in the open with the outbreak, when China’s leading expert on bioweapons, People’s Liberation Army Major General Chen Wei, was immediately placed in charge of the Wuhan Institute of Virology. As for Dr. Shi Zheng-Li, she seems to have disappeared.

As Dr. Tritto explained in an interview with Italian media:

In 2005, after the SARS epidemic, the Wuhan Institute of Virology was born, headed by Dr. Shi Zheng-Li, who collects coronaviruses from certain bat species and recombines them with other viral components in order to create vaccines. In 2010 she came into contact with American researchers led by Prof. Ralph Baric, who in turn works on recombinant viruses based on coronaviruses. Thanks to the matrix viruses provided by Shi, Baric created in 2015 a mouse Sars-virus chimera, which has a pathogenic effect on human cells analyzed in vitro.

At that point, the China-US collaboration becomes competition. Shi wants to work on a more powerful virus to make a more powerful vaccine: it combines a bat virus with a pangolin virus in vitro and in 2017 publishes the results of this research in some scientific articles.

Her research attracts the interest of the Chinese military and medical-biological sector which deals with biological weapons used as a deterrent for defensive and offensive purposes. Thus Shi is joined by doctors and biologists who belong to the political-military sphere, such as Guo Deyin, a scholar of anti-AIDS and anti-viral hepatitis vaccines and expert in genetic recombination techniques. The introduction of the new engineered inserts into the virus genome is the result of the collaboration between the Shi team and that of Guo Deyin. The realization of this new chimera, from a scientific point of view, is a success. So much so that, once the epidemic has broken out, the two researchers ask WHO to register it as a new virus, H-nCoV-19 (Human new Covid 19), and not as another virus derived from SARS. It is reasonable to think that Shi acted only from the point of view of scientific prestige, without however taking into account the risks in terms of security and the political-military interests that her research would have aroused.

When asked why China has refused to provide the complete genome of the China Virus to the WHO or to other countries, Dr. Tritto explained that “providing the matrix virus would have meant admitting that SARS-CoV-2 [China Virus] was created in the laboratory. In fact, the incomplete genome made available by China lacks some inserts of AIDS amino acids, which itself is a smoking gun.” 

The key question, for those of us who are living through the pandemic, concerns the development of a vaccine.  On this score, Prof. Tritto is not optimistic:

Given the many mutations of SARS-CoV-2, it is extremely unlikely that a single vaccine that blocks the virus will be found. At the moment 11 different strains have been identified: the A2a genetic line which developed in Europe and the B1 genetic line which took root in North America are more contagious than the 0 strain originating in Wuhan. I therefore believe that, at the most, a multivalent vaccine can be found effective on 4-5 strains and thus able to cover 70-75% of the world’s population.

In other words, by withholding from the world the original genetic code of the China Virus that it created, the Chinese Communist Party is ensuring that no completely effective vaccine will ever be developed by the West.

In other words, China continues to lie, and people continue to die. 

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