The Truth Is Out, Net Zero Will Bakrupt The World

A study by the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC), published on Tuesday 18 October, estimates in its advice to government that if the UK is to hit its 2050 target for achieving ‘Net Zero’, taxpayers will have to find roughly double the amount of money the nation would have had to spend on renewing and updating energy and transport infrastructure over the next 27 years to £2 trillion, the additional £1 trillion to be spent on the implementing the green agenda.

A trillion, its easy to say but is an unimaginably big amount of money to find. A good illustration of how big is to imagine spending a pound a second every single second, no weekends, no holidays, no time off for good behaviour, for the next 31,709 years and 10 months (and yes, I did use a computers to work that out.)

31,710 years ago our ancestors, though they had moved on from the knuckle dragging phase of human evolution, were, as far as we know, still living in caves, eating raw meat and running around naked.

A trillion is a conservative estimate of course. Given that the UK national debt is increasing at roughly one million pounds every three and a half minutes and that our spending on health and welfare, energy, roads and railways, education, defence, environment etc. etc. is not likely to go down that estimated cost of Net Zero is likely to increase exponentially in the way government projects always do and end up having cost not two trillion but 22 trillion in 27 years time.

So unless government suddenly comes to its senses and realises that unless we want to return to living in caves, eating raw meat and running around naked we had better abandon ‘net zero’ unless it plans to reduce unemployment by hiring gangs of muscular people to shovel money into firey furnaces (thus causing lots of CO2 to be emitted.) Most of the (estimated) extra trillion would go on replacing petrol cars with electric ones and gas boilers with electric heat pumps, and on generating, transmitting and distributing the extra electricity needed for these two uses. It also includes a host of other capital projects, including better household insulation. With all that electric demand, we would need extra power stations, extra pylons and upgrades of household electrical circuits. And we would need subsidies for installing the heat pumps and buying electric vehicles. And if anyone thinks that lot could be done for a paltry one trillion, that person is probably working as a senior economic adviser for the treasury department.

According to the assessment £74 billion would have to be spent on closing down and decommissioning the gas network: the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC), which was set up to promote economic growth, has been so totally hijacked by the bansturbators of the green lobby that it is now a National Dismantling Commission.

With the exception of home insulation, very little of that £1 trillion would actually improve your lifestyle in any practical way. It does not promise to give you cheaper or more reliable electricity in fact wind and solar are proving more expensive and less reliable. It would not save you any money or give you any more spare time — or make you more productive.

It would generally replace smaller things with bigger things — more pylons, heavier cars, bigger radiators, wind farms occupying hundreds of acres of good land instead of gas turbine power stations occupying five acres — so it would actually clutter the world more.

Facts and arguments aren’t going to change the minds of Net Zero advocates of course. What will change their minds is the sense that those of us who do not enjoy the inflated salaries and inflation linked pensions of public sector workers, and therefore are opposed to all this Net Zero, save the planet bollocks (not of which is backed by scientific evidence, all the green lobby have is output from mathematical models,) and are getting angry. The fearmongering tactics favoured by the elite has failed as realisation grows that all these virtue signalling policies so beloved of the elite are going to impoverish us and push us back to the kind of living standards endured by working people in the nineteenth century and might just pick up out pitchforks and cudgels (metaphorical ones of course, we can do much more damage with a couple of household cleaning products and a cheap burner phone,) and going after Net Zero zealots, their energy efficient homes and their beloved pimped up and highly combustible golf trolleys.

They need to feel the need to abandon quasi – religious ideology at an emotional level and face mundane reality. And as we all know, because the elites, the wannabe overlords, taught us, fear is best weapon for changing minds.

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Can Britain Afford This Lockdown and Others Which May Follow?

Source
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/11/05/sadly-complete-myth-britain-cant-afford-lockdowns/

Many people who think seriously about stuff will already be aware of the phenomenal cost to the UK economy of 4 months lockdown and another three partial lockdown earlier this year and wondering how the nation can possibly endure, both economically and socially, another month of lockdown with possibly more to follow. Well worry not my friends, according to economist and Wall Street Journal contributor Matthew Lynn the Bank of England has the answer, we just print some more money.

As we all lock ourselves in the cupboard under the stairs and England goes back into lockdown today, Chancellor Rishi Sunak announced another injection of £££s tens of billions to support the economy through the Covid-19 crisis (Chapter 99,900?) Surely the money will run out soon, will it not? Well, according to Mr. Lynn, no. So long as the Bank of England can print money fast enough the economy will stay afloat. We will hit a crisis eventually, but not for a long time – and we shouldn’t expect the Bank to rescue us from lockdown by imposing economic sanity on the government and its scientific advisers. 

Alongside keeping interest rates at almost zero while fuelling inflation the government is destroying the value of your saving and pensions, driving down the purchasing power of earnings, and undermining the currency. Yet they casually pumped another £150 billion into the economy through another round of ‘quantitative easing’ for the sake of prologing the misery of a few chronically ill people.

Even at the rate Sunak spends, that is a huge sum. In effect, the Bank will be funding the Government’s entire deficit for the year, and it will be doing it with little more than a few keystrokes on Andrew Bailey’s computer. In total, it now plans to print an extra £895 billion to counter the Covid-19 crisis, and no doubt more will be done if necessary. What started out as a one-off £200 billion to deal with the crash of 2008 has now multiplied five-fold, and it probably won’t stop there. 

A magic money tree? Perhaps. But as the linked article shows we have been picking the low hanging fruit from that for a long time, since the financial crisis of 2008 in fact. According to Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) we can carry on creating fiat money in this way for a long time. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank are printing even more than The Bank Of England. Keynesean theorists will tell you we are only borrowing from ourselves.

“Bugger me with the blunt end of a ragman’s trumpet,” you might well exclaim, why do we all bother going to work and paying our taxes when it’s possible to finance our lives by borrowing money from ourselves? I had no idea that we could spend our lives goofing around and the Bank of England would pay us for it.

I wonder if the author, who writes for one of the world’s leading economic journals remember, is aware that “printing money” does not actually mean topping up the ink reservoirs and staring the printing presses. Central banks create money by issuing bonds which bear a fixed interest rate or coupon value and are sold at auction to the highest bidder. The ‘yield’ is the true interest rate. If the bonds sell for more than the face value the yield is less that the fixed interest rate, if they sell for less then the yield is higher.
When a central bank floods the market with bonds (as is happening with most central banks now,) the yield on those bonds crashes,

No Mr Lynn, Britain cannot afford another lockdown, this government is mortgaging the nation’s future to pay for the incompetence and idiocy of its scientific advisers.Long term the result can only be catastrophic,

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Don’t Be Fooled, Elites Have Been Planning This Power Grab For Years

by Phoenix Capita, 15 May 2020

As long as large portions of the economy remain on lockdown, the government will be forced to perform massive stimulus programs/ social spending. As I write this Friday morning, the House is preparing to vote on a $3 trillion stimulus bill later today.

While the particular bill in question is chock full of Democrats’ legislation (more abortion funding, banning voter IDs, etc.), and likely won’t make it through the Senate in this particular form, the White House and the GOP are both in favor of providing additional stimulus checks to Americans in the near future.

Put simply, regardless of specific political affiliations, the political class is currently in favor of spending vast amounts of money right now.

All of this money has to come from somewhere. Currently, it’s the debt markets (the Treasury will borrow $3 trillion between April and June alone). But at some point, the Powers That Be will begin looking for new sources of capital.

Indeed, if history has taught us anything it’s that once the government/ elites use a crisis to make a massive power grab, rarely if ever is that power given back to the people.

We saw this with the Patriot Act in 2001, the policy response to the 2008 crisis. And it’s happening again today with the economic shutdown. While individual states will all eventually reopen, the fact is that the US just took a massive jump towards outright socialism/ central planning. And the political class LOVES it.

This will result in a collapsing economy, which in turn will mean lower tax revenues, which in turn will mean a greater need for capital to finance social spending programs/ unemployment/ stimulus checks.

The debt markets will pick up much of the slack here, but at some point the political class will start looking for new sources of capital.

That source will be you, me and everyone else.

The plan behind this has been in place since 2011. Elites knew well in advance that another crisis was coming, and they put in place legislation that would allow them to:

1)    Freeze bank accounts and use them to “bail-in” financial institutions/ banks.

2)    Close the “gates” on investment funds/ money market funds to stop you from getting your money out.

3)    Impose wealth taxes and seize unused assets.

Did you know the IMF has already called for nations around the world to introduce a wealth tax of 10% on NET WEALTH as soon as possible?

If you think that’s bad, consider that the Fed plans to both seize and STEAL savings during the next crisis/ recession.

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Will Macron / Johnson Skulduggery Lead To A Hard Brexit?

When Boris Johnson’s Conservatives crushed the Corbyn – led, anti – Semitic, terrorist loving, far – left, borderline Maoist incarnation of the Labour Party in the UK’s General Election  on December 12 (thus giving Donald Trump’s hopes of re-election as US presiident in 2020 as the Democrats seem determinted to pick an equally whacky, far left candidate as their nomineee,) the resulting solid majority voters gave Johnson led many political pundits to predict that it would marginalise the Brexit lobby and free Johnson to negotiate a soft landing type deal with the EU.

But, love him or hate him, Johnson is a far more astute politician than that. He knows his impregnable majority is down to traditional Labour voters deserting the party, not simply over its failure to take a clear position on leaving the EU as most of mainstrwam media would have us believe, but for many identifiable reasons whoch can be condensed down to a single sentence by saying the working classes believe Labour has abandoned them and is not the party of lawyers, academics and managers.

The working classes are not stupid, though not all are highly articulate as Labour’s lawyer – politicians tend to be, and not all are academically gifted as most of Labour’s university educated candidates, parachuted into safe constituencies in working class areas by party headquarters tend to be, they know where their interests lie. And it is not in the hands of a party that would open the borders to millions of uneducated, unskilled third world migrants, or which promises to fund its profligate public spending by “taxing the rich.” Working class people are not easily fooled, they know the seriously rich have their money tied up in trust funds and investments which are protected from the taxman. And they know those investments can quickly be moved offshore should any future Maoist government threaten to seize personal assets.

They also know something which socialist economists (who generally have a sub – zero IQ rating,) remain blissfully unaware of. The majority of invested wealth is held by pension funds and investment trusts used by small savers. So Labour’s “tax the rich” pland would hit the moderately well off, the thrifty and those who had no choice but to save for retirement by paying into a company pension fund as Labour’s taxation plans have always previously hit hardest at those whose votes Labour has relied on. Well that’s socialism for you folks.

So after a hundred years, as Labour has gradually moved more and more towards becoming the party of affluent intellectuals, the working classes have seen through the pretence. Socialists do not care about the working classes, socialist care only about their votes as a stepping stone to power.

However, as previously mentioned, Boris Johnson is an astute politician, he knows that former Labour voters did not turn out and vote Conservative, instead they stayed at home and did not vote, while large numbers of traditional Conservative voters who had stayed at home in the previous election in protest as Theresa May’s inept leadership and  attempts to negotiate a leaving deal with the EU that would effectively keep the UK tied to EU law and policies made by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels. And Johnson knows if he wants to be re-elected he must get the Conservative voters out again at the next election, and at least keep the Labour voters at home if he cannot persuade them to switch alliegence.

It is perhaps with all this in mind Prime Minister Johnson appears to have chosen to play it tough with the EU.

Then he could undermine Brexit by giving back all the concessions during his subsequent negotiations with the EU over a trade deal.

This analysis should have been the correct one given the staunch opposition by the political elite in the U.K. to Brepxit.

So the political situation in the UK has changed. For all the haters say about him, Boris has the likeability factor while more of Labour’s likeable figures are gone, stepp[ed down like Andy Burnham, now Mayor of Manchester, or defeated, like Caroline Flint, for may years the hottest female politician in Britain. And because the Conservatives know they must hold the working class to hold on to power, and working class voters by a considerable majority support our leaving the EU, a soft Brexit is no longer a viable way forward.

This is probably why Boris Johnson is almost channeling Nigel Farage in his ‘come and have a go if you think you’re hard enough’ approach to trade negotiations with the European Union.

The modified Withdrawal Bill passed by the new Parliament with six Labour defectors in the week before Christmas strengthens Johnson’s hand as he embarks on new trade negotiations with the organisation that said it would absolutely not renegotiate Theresas May’s Brexit In Name Only deal,  by removing any potential extension of negotiations beyond the end of 2020. There are a ton of changes noted in the Guardian article linked above covers.

The original two year transition period EU Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier was planning on using to bully whoever became political leader of the UK into accepting whatever one – sided conditions the EU chose to impose is gone. January 31st Brexit happens, and for the following eleven months the EU can negotiate or we leave at the end of the year on WTO terms (Hard Brexit). This would hit the EU, and particularly the EU’s biggest economies, Germany, France, Italy and Spain far harder than it will hit Britain which has an enormous deficit in its trade with the EU, largely because EU protectionism prevents us sourcing many of our imports more cheaply from outside the Union.

Although the political situation is changing in Britain, it is changing in Europe too.

Given the context of his negotiations with French President Emmanuel Macron in October which secured the current Withdrawal Treaty, it seems Boris sees more clearly than Theresa May ever did that it is Britain rather than the European Union which negotiates from a position of strength.

The keys to understanding the EU’s weakness is the shifting dynamic between France, Germany and the U.K. in relation to their relationship with the United States, the underlying weakness of the EU single currency system, The Euro, and the political weakness of Emmanuel Marcon as, after struggling for a year to resolve the internalo conflict with the Yellow Vests movement’s protests over high taxes,  he now faces a general strike against his proposed reforms to France’s retirement and pensions policy .

Simultaneously Macron is pushing France to unseat Germany as the de facto rule-setter for the EU. He wants more integration at every level, but most importantly fiscally, while the fragile coalition government led by Chancellor Merkel could fall at any time, plunging Berlin into chaos.

Macron, a former Goldman Sachs Investment Banker understands that the euro is in trouble and that around half the 27 members of the Union are economic basket cases. Since the 2008 financial crisis the European Central Bank (ECB) bought aaround €1.5trillion of junk bonds in its efforts to prop up Eurozone economies. The French president also sees the flaw in this policy is because of the lack of fiscal integration of EU member states, this puts enormous pressure on the more successful economies which are already stalling due to the EU’s expansionism. For the euro to survive at least three  things need to happen.

1. There needs to be a single entity capable of issuing and redeeming Euro-zone sovereign debt. Until and unless that happens the weaker states will continue to issue Euro denominated bonds and rely on the ECB to buy them.
2. The euro has to weaken considerably to remove the garrote around the necks of countries like Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece and even France. Unfortunately for the past three and a half years EU officials have been forcing the bank to keep the value ofv the Euro high to undermine the UK pound.
3. Much of the existing sovereign debt needs to be converted into a Eurobond, doing away with much of the stock of debt as liabilities for member states like Italy and Spain.

Macron also understood that British voters would never accept the EU overturning Brexit in the same way as it had previously overturned results of democratic votes in France, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Portugal, Greece, Italy and most recently Spain, and the way it had planned with the government of long term EU loyalist Theresa May. He saw the opportunity to cut Britain loose, thuse easing the path of France to more power, and to shaft Germany at the same time.

Germany will not be eager for any of these developments, the current single currency system is designed to benefit German’s manufacturing base and underwrite its mercantilism. The status quo suits Germany fine, the country has benefited handsomely from the hollowing out of member states economies through the internal trade advantages the Euro gives German business. Once the weaker economies are insolvent, Germany has used its financial clout to force debt restructuring, buying up assets at pennies on the euro. The prime example of this is what happened in Greece.

This explains why the single currency system is designed the way it is. What Emmanuel Macron sees as a flaw was in fact a plan, rather it was the plan. They may claim to have had genuine reasons for doing this, but this is classic colonialism.

But, what does this have to do with Brexit? Quite a lot actually.

Macron installed convicted criminal and former IMF chief Christine Lagarde as head of the ECB to push for fiscal integration and to politically blackmail the Germans into going along with it.

How? By threatening to write down or allowing default on the massive $850 billion in TARGET 2 liabilities German banks have in euro-zone sovereign debt on their balance sheets.

But there’s no way City of London and the crown would survive the British people’s anger at underwriting the costs of this shakedown and subsequent debt crisis.

Nigel Farage and the other hard Brexiteers understood that this was a key issue, but one that didn’t resonate with voters. Fishing rights and immigration get people to the polls, not bailing out German banks.

But, make no mistake, Farage, the old commodities trader, knows that breaking the British banking system free from the EU’s and put up a hard border, as it were, between them is the key to a successful Brexit.

And I suspect, after it was clear they couldn’t convince the British people otherwise, that City of London and the Crown saw this as well.

So, Macron and Johnson looked at the landscape clearly and with the blessing of the British political class negotiated a settlement.

By allowing Johnson and the U.K. to get clear of the fiscal and political storm, Macron gets even more leverage over Germany whose economy is the one hurt most by a hard Brexit.

The Germans run a huge trade surplus with the U.K. Cutting that down weakens the euro and Germany at the same time.

Germany will insist on bail-ins of depositors versus bailing out the Italian government. But Macron realizes the only way for the EU to survive the coming debt crisis is to over-ride Germany’s deflationary attitudes. They are going to have to print euros like no tomorrow.

He may throw Merkel a bone in the negotiations but it won’t be much. Macron is many things, but he’s not stupid. He knows the Euroskeptic populists will eventually rise to power in Italy, Spain, Portugal and potentially even Germany. He knows he’s in trouble in France. And he knows the wheels have come off Merkel’s federalization bandwagon because German taxpayers are sick of propping up the European Projectfinancially.

The miserable results returned by the two leading German political parties supporting moves towards a federal Europe are an indicator of the public’s disillusionment with EU policy. Prime Minister Johnson may be just what France has been waiting for in order to tip the balance of power in its favour.

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Little Donny Tusk The Polish Has-Been Tells Britain How To Vote.

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#
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EU clashes with Rome over Italy’s budget plans, again

Picture: Deutsche Welle

You thought Brexit was the only problem the EU was struggling with at the moment? How wrong were you?

The EU Commission’s latest rejection of Italy’s budget is the first step in disciplinary procedures that, in typical schol bully stylem the bastards of Brussels threaten will lead to big fines and economic sanctions. The EU Commission said Italy has “seriously violated” EU budget rules when rejecting again Italy’s proposed budget on Wednesday.

The Commission confirmed its assessment that “Italy’s draft budget plan is in particularly serious non-compliance” with EU debt rules, Commission Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis said in Brussels. It is woth reminding ourselves here that when Italy, with its traditionally weak currency, was bullied into joining the European Single Currency System (the Euro) after the EU had ben its own rules to breaking point in a politically motivated move to force weaker economies into financial integration, thus advancing the Federal European Superstate agenda.

Dombrovskis said with the Italian government’s current plan “we see a risk of the country sleepwalking into instability.” (Well he’s Greek so he’d know.)

“We conclude that the opening of a debt-based excessive deficit procedure is warranted,” he added, referring to the EU’s disciplinary process against member states for over-spending, a policy which has impoverished millions of people in Greece, Spain, Portgal, Ireland and Italy as EU imposed austerity policies have destroyed the spending power of wages.

The Commission’s move is mandated for countries whose debt levels are above the Eurozone threshold and who are not doing enough to reduce borrowing. Unfortunately not all countries are as strong economically as Germany, and with their weak economies tied to the German industrial powerhouse they cannot operayte within the eU rules.

Italy’s government, led by a populist coalition of left leanin Five-Star Movement and the right-of-centre Lega, has remained largely defiant towards Brussels. On Wednesday, Matteo Salvini, Italy’s interior minister, deputy prime minister and de fact leader of the government, said any EU sanctions against Rome would be “disrespectful” towards Italians.

“We are convinced about the numbers in our budget. We will talk about it in a year’s time,” he told reporters. Rome and the EU Commission had been at odds for weeks over Italy’s budget after it had been rejected by the Commission a first time.

Last week Italy submitted a revised version of its budget with only minor adjustments that did not appease the Commission and EU member states.

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Drunkard Juncker says EU Cannot Survive Without Italy<

 

Is the EU planning to pick a fight with the olive oil business
Image: Paramount Pictures

Ignoring warnings from the European Commission, the ECB and the European Commission (as well as practically every other supranational organization in Europe), the populist-led Italian government managed to submit their draft budget to the Commission before a midnight deadline – an outcome that was cheered by BTP traders, who bought back into Italian bonds, once again compressing the spread to bunds, which has blown out in recent months.

But rather than representing a deescalation of tensions between Italy and Brussels, the game of fiscal chicken in which both sides are presently engaged is instead entering its most acute phase, as Brussels now has two weeks to review the budget proposal before it can either accept the plan, or send it back with requests for revisions. And anybody who has been paying even passing attention to the populist government’s denigration of EU budgetary guidelines over the past few months should already understand that Brussels won’t just sit back and accept the budget for what it is.

In fact, European Commissioner Jean-Claude Juncker hinted as much Tuesday morning when he told Italian reporters that accepting the budget would be tantamount to inviting an widespread revolt against the EU, per Italian newswire ANSA and the FT. Juncker also blasted Italy for abandoning the fiscal commitments it made when it joined the EU. However, though they have wavered from time to time, the Italians haven’t kept their intentions to press for a budget deficit equivalent to 2.4% of GDP a secret. Even Giovanni Tria, Italy’s economy minister, defended the draft budget, saying the deficit “would be considered normal in all Western democracies, not explosive.”

Undeterred by the fact that there’s absolutely no political will in the Italian government to back down from their budget stance, despite threats from the ECB to provoke a Greece-style banking crisis if the Italians don’t yield to EU rules.

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Italy Declares War On Merkel And The EU

Matteo Salvini promises Eurosceptic surge in 2019 EU elections – Picture:www.express.co.uk

There was never any doubt that the leaders of the Euroskeptic coalition now governing Italy planned to challence the EU’s ruling bureaucracy over Italy’s proposed budget. Both Deputy Prime Ministers, Luigi Di Maio of Five Star Movement and Matteo Salvini of The League, were adamant about locking horns with European Union leadership over all issues of sovereignty between now and May’s European Parliamentary elections. This battle, coming as it does as Angeal Merkel’s fraile coalition faces another major setback, indicates that Germany’s domination of the EU, if not at an end, is looking very vulnerable.

The Italian budget proposes both tax cuts and universal income and has kicked into touch the EU budget limit of 2.0% of GDP, coming in at 2.4%. It has put their Finance Minister, Giovanni Tria, in a difficult position because Tria doesn’t want to negotiate this budget with Brussels, preferring a less confrontational, read more pro-EU, approach.

Salvini and Di Maio, however, have other plans. And since we began covering this story before the Italian election back in March, the imperative that Salvini force the issue of the Troika’s demands – (the EU, European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund) – back down their throats on debt restructuring/forgiveness.

Salvini’s emergence as the leader of this fight, was that Italy, because they are more than technically insolvent, have all the leverage in the negotiations. The size of their outstanding debt and the liabilities existent on the balance sheets of banks across Europe, most notably the nearly $1 trillion in TARGET 2 liabilities, are something Juncker, Draghi, Merkel and Christine LaGarde at the IMF simply cannot ignore. The reason Italy’s debt problem, and those of other EU members in southern Europe are so intractable is the single currency, which was created for political reasons without regard for the sheer economic stupidity of tying economies like those of Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal to the German economic powerhouse. This cut off the debtor nations from their traditional escape route, devaluation.

To successfully challenge EU financial diktat, Salvini and Luigi Di Maio, leader of Five Star have to make a serious effort to negotiate a good deal for Italy with Brussels, Berlin and the IMF. This is why the budget squeaked past the 2.0% limit and then they walked it back to 2.0% but with provisions they knew would anger the EU finance ministers.

The point of this is to provoke Brussels into a punitive reaction and then paint them as the bad guys to shift public sentiment back towards an Italeave position. Italy’s problems are not solvable with Germany holding the purse strings for all the EU countries.

With a big swing towards Euroscepticism and nationalism under way in Germany it looks as though the days of the Federal Europe project are truly numbered. With voting due tomorrow in Bravaria’s regional election, the CSU, sister party of Merkel’s CDU and traditional ruling party in the Bravarian provincial government and their main rivals the Social Democrats see their respective votes collapsing. Alternate for Germany (AfD)is now pushing up towards 20% nationally and looks likely to have a significant presence in the Bravarian assembly after the votes are counted, while centre left voters are turning to The Greens. If AfD out polls the Greens and denies the CSU a path to a coalition government without them then that could have spillover effects for Angela Merkel.

The latest polls have AfD averaging around 11% versus a strong push up to 18% by the Greens. Given recent shock results we must doubt the accuracy of these polls, but given the recent history of anti – establishment parties it would not be a surprise to see AfD outperform their polling numbers on Sunday.

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Merkel Faces Crisis As German Ruling Coalition Collapses

 

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel officially announced on Saturday for the first time that her conservative bloc of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party Christian Social Union (CSU) will seek to form a coalition government with the centre right Free Democratic Party (FDP) and left wing loony Greens.

German Elections: Anti – EU party AfD 3rd In Polls

Elections take place in Germany this Sunday, September 24, for the federal assembly (Bundestag) and the presidency (Chancellor). While Angela Merkel looks set to win a fourth term as Chancellor and the most likely outcome of the election is another “Grand Coalition” between Christian Democrats and Social Democrats that coalition will be a much-weakened if late polls are to be believed.
More news from September 2017

The EU can go and F*** itself!’ Italian Politician’s Outburst Rallies Support In Italy

The leader of the Lega party, formerly known as Lega Nord, Matteo Salvini claimed the European Union should stop interfering with Italian politics as the measures taken by the bloc have crippled the Italian economy for the past 15 years. Mr Salvini is the frontrunner in the upcoming Italian general election as Italy’s next Prime …

European sovereign debt crisis could cause Eurozone implosion – ex-BoE chief

Are government economists and mainstream media finally catching up with what The Daily Stirrer and Boggart Blog’s finance expert Phil T Looker has said since we started publishing? Former Bank of England chief Mervyn King has written an article warning that Eurozone deabt problems pose a bigger threat to the EU than a British OUT vote in the referendum

Cameron’s EU Package: Not A Deal But A Few Turns In The Spin Machine
As we and almost everybody else predicted, David Cameron’s deal to improve Britain’s relationship with the EU is worthless. It changes nmothing, and can be vetoed once we have voted to stay in.

Cameron’s Hopes For EU Membership Reforms For UK Torpedoed By Tusk

David Cameron’s hopes of winning serious concessions on sovereignty, border controls, contributions, trade agreements, human rights and labour laws so he could claim to have won a better deal for Britain by the time the in / out referendum starts next year European Union suffered an early blow when European Council President Donald Tusk warned that reaching a deal would be “very tough” …

Italian Town ‘Taken Over’ By Nigerian Migrant Gangs
The former seaside resort town of Castel Volturno, to the north of Naples, has reportedly been taken over by Nigerian gangs who run drug and prostitution rings. The town has a total population of around 30,000 people, of which an estimated 20,000 are migrants, many of them in Italy illegallly, French news magazine L’Obs reports.

Lord Rothschild: The New World Order Is At Risk

Baron Jacob Rothschild – concerned banker or Bond villain? (Picture Source:  http://www.myfirstclasslife.com  )

In the RIT Capital Partners 2014 annual report, the head of Rothschild family banking empire warned that “the geopolitical situation is most dangerous since WWII.” A year later, Baron Jacob Rothschild repeated his warning about the outcome of “what is surely the greatest experiment in monetary policy in the history of the world”. In August 2017 with markets still behaving irrationally he cautioned that “share prices have in many cases risen to unprecedented levels at a time when economic growth is by no means assured.”

Little did he know at the time that, driven by High Frequency Trading, computer algorithms and a quasi religious blind faith in technology they would keep rising, but related to that, he also made another warning which the market has so far ignored:

The period of monetary accommodation may well be coming to an end. Geopolitical problems remain widespread and are proving increasingly difficult to resolve.

In the latest half-year commentary from RIT Capital Partners published yesterday, Lord Rothschild made his sternest warning to date, this time focusing on the global economic system that was established after WWII to create a new world order, and which he believes is now in jeopardy.

The billionaire banker pointed to the US-China trade war, which is really a US versus Russia, China and Iran currency war, and the Eurozone crisis, with the resurgence of nationalism threatening the European Unity project after the UK’s Brexit vote, as the key problems putting economic order at risk, and the lack of a “common approach” – a reference to the gradual unwind of global thinking in the wake of President Trump – that has made “co-operation today much more difficult”:

“In 9/11 and in the 2008 financial crisis, the powers of the world worked together with a common approach. Co-operation today is proving much more difficult. This puts at risk the post-war economic and security order.”

It wasn’t clear if he was referring to the post-war fiat money standard that emerged once FDR devalued the dollar relative to gold, and then fixed a price for the yellow metal, a tenuous link that was subsequently destroyed by Nixon who finally took the US off the gold standard, or the primacy of the dollar which emerged as the world’s reserve currency after the end of WWII, paving the way for the US to bid for global hegemony, but whenever one of the people who profited handsomely from the “post war world order” warns it may be on its last legs, it may be time to worry.

Either way it is hard to believe that Rothschild is a stupid man, although living in an elitist bubble he may be detached from reality, but his comments suggest that he is unaware the great mass of people have woken up to the fact that globalisation can only benefit the elite in the west, while diminishing the educated populations of developed nations in favour of buying the loyalty of uneducated third world multitudes with handouts and cheap gadgets.

With global risks growing after politicians and the banking cartel have kicked the can down the road for several years by printing money, how is Rothschild positioned? He writes that “in the circumstances our policy is to maintain our limited exposure to quoted equities and to enter into new commitments with great caution” and indeed, in the first half, RIT had a net quoted equity exposure of only 47%, historically low. The reason: the iconic banking family is concerned that the 10-year bullish cycle and market rally could finally be ending.

While Rothschild noted that “many of the world’s economies have enjoyed a broad-based acceleration not seen since the aftermath of the financial crisis of 2008, with as many as 120 countries seeing stronger growth last year” he also cautioned that “we continue to believe that this is not an appropriate time to add to risk. Current stock market valuations remain high by historical standards, inflated by years of low interest rates and the policy of quantitative easing which is now coming to an end.”

One potential risk is Europe, where debt levels have reached “potentially destructive levels”.

Quite so, but the growth we have seen since the 2008 crash has not been organic growth but has occurred mainly because interest rates at which governments lend to banks (by selling bonds to fund their deficits,) have been artificially maintained at suicidally low levels. This has enabled banks to borrow at a quarter or a half per cent, and use their borrowings to buy bonds with a fixed rate of three or three and a half per cent (or higher for nations with weaker economies.) These bonds often give a higher yield as it is possible to buy them at a discount.

Globalisation And The Destruction Of Civilisation
Despite repeated assertions that this blog does not align itself with either of those anachronistic labels, left and right, our oppositions to globalisation (an attack on benefits the early trade union movement fought for,) and our support for controlled borders and strict vetting of immigrants we are often accused by those who like to label themselves ‘left’ (because it sounds cuddlier) …

Can Americans Overthrow The Evil That Rules Them?
The anti – establishment, anti – globalisation mood that manifested itself in the Brexit vote is sweeping across Europe, the cosy government – corporate cartel is desperately trying to control the narrative, but against the combined strength of millions of new media commentators all challenging the official; narrative, the dark forces of globalism are on the back foot.

Is Bilderberg A Sinister Group That Runs The World Or Just A Tea Party For Rich And Powerful People
Are the Bilderberg Group meeting, this weekend in Dresden, Germany, really The Shadow Government (the New World Order, The Illuminati,) that rules the world?
The Oligarchy Is Tottering – Trump Tramples The Neocons’ “False Song Of Globalism”
Donald Trump scares the global establishment as do the anti Federalisation parties in the EU. We take a long and detailed look at why, and exactly what the globalist agenda would have meant for freedom and democracy had people not wonken up and opposed it in vast numbers. Kudos to the Islamic Jihad too, medievalist religious nuts they may be, but they resisted American attempt to impose western consumer culture on them.

If You Look At How Fast Global Trade Is Unravelling, You’ll Get Dizzy
Governments constantly make positive noises about the health of their economies although most people who are in work have felt no improvement on the position they were in after the crash of 2008. Wages are stagnant, employment has reduced somewhat (see below) and while the banks are printing money and the super rich are widening the gap between themselves and ordinary people faster than ever, the real situation is frightening.

The New World order Pope Wants You To Pray For One World Religion
The Marxist, globalist, Soros apparatchik currently posing as head of the Catholic faith wants to scrap the Catholic Church. He didn’t say that in so many words but he has called on Catholics to pray for the creation of a world religion (because love and peace) which would embrace

Democracy Murdered In France
I’m hearing very disturbing news from the French regional elections, predicting that the Front National, comfortable winners in last week’s first round of regional elections, hasve been routed in all regions. For that to happen, and to happen through a massive increase in turnout, suggests electoral fraud on a hughe scale. Or has France joined Britain in adopting the Islamic version of democracy, which is one man one vote, one Imam one thousand votes.

Who Runs America, The White House Or The Shadow Government?
Reports of President Barack Obama’s meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin at the G20 summit over the weekend do not look right in the context of yet another blitz of provocative rhetoric from The Pentagon and the Department of Defence towards Moscow. In view of the USA’s constant push towards all out war with Russia, one has to ask who is in control: Obama or the generals?

EU “Sounds Alarm” Over New US Sanctions On Russia; Germany Threatens Retaliation
Late on Friday (21/07/17), Congressional negotiators agreed to advance a cross – party bill that would punish Russia for its (alleged) interference in the 2016 election according to the Wall Street Journal. And while it seems improbable that President Trump would sign the bill if it reaches his desk, the loudest complaint about the bill to date has emerged not from the Oval Office, but from US allies in NATO and the European Union …

Trump catches attention of CFR, Bilderberg, Trilateral

Donald Trump is portrayed as a clown by mainstream media and his combover is the silliest I have ever seen. Still, he’s a billionaie so I don’t suppose he gives a flying fuck what The Daily Stirrer thinks of him. Not that we think he is all bad, anyone who attacks Obama’s global naziism trade deals, TTIP and TPP mush have some good points.

Prepare For The Worst Case Scenario
An article on the cashless society our political and corporate overlords are pushing for proposes that as far as privacy and individual liberty are concerned, what is being planned right now in the political capitals and financial centres of the world is the worst case scenarion. An all digital financial system would mean the end of privacy, nothing you bought or traded would be your own business any more …

How Mainstream Media And The Major Political Parties Are Making Sure Voters Do not Hear The Voices Of Politics’ Most Powerful Critics
As the General Election campaign starts to heat up, we try to shift focus away from the squabbling between Conservative and Labour about who can make the most promises they have no intention of keeping and to the real issues concerning jobs, social breakdown , mass immigration, and loss of national sovereignty.

US Presidents Of The Past warned Against Secret, Shadow Government.
By now it should be obvious that peacemake, joybringer and putative aquatic pedestrian Barack Hussein Obama was never really in charge of the US Government. Whatever Obama said would happen, all the American government’s policies ensured the opposit would happen. The embedded article thows some light on how the US government really works

The American Political System Is “Not A Democracy Or Constitutional Republic” – Thiel
The state of democracy in the USA has become a hot topic of conversation in American business circles in recent years. While President Barack Hussein Obama, not so much a man as an ego on long skinny legs, has increasingly been inclined to rule by executive order in the manner of a despot or tyrant, even Obama’s fiercest critics have to admit the American electoral system seems increasingly capable of delivering only political paralysis …

U.S. versus Russia War: Top Russian Politics Scolar Stephen Cohen Tells The Truth
We have been blogging for four years about the US drive for war, provocation of Russia in Syria, Iraq, Ukraine and elsewhere made it obvious. But I’m just a news junkie with a strong sense of curiosity and have wondered why the US seems set on this course. Good to see experts like Stephen Cohen, a prominent expert on, Russia are coming onside.

Another Reason To Get Out Of EU. UKIP MEP Hits Out At Fishing Policy That Penalises British Fishing Crews
As the General Election campaign starts to heat up, we try to shift focus away from the squabbling between Conservative and Labour about who can make the most promises they have no intention of keeping and to the real issues concerning jobs, social breakdown , mass immigration, and an often overlooked area in which our EU membership has perhaps done more damage than any other, the fishing industry.

Multi-Cultural England: Are You Feeling The Progressive Diversity.
As racial and sectarian tension increase on the streets of britain while politicians gear up for the election campaign, we take a look at the state of Britain today, Imigrant child abuse gangs, Clerics of alien faiths dictating moral strictures, and everywhere we look, foreigners being given provieged status. Is it any wonder the voters are angry?

Another Conspiracy Theory Becomes Fact: Oil Collapse Is All About Obama’s Proxy War With Russia.
While we are distracted with sex scandals at home and terrorists rampaging through the middle east and Africa, the US / EU / NATO confrontation with Russia / China / Iran is geting into a very dangerous state. While the Chinese led move to dump the US dollar as global reserve currency is causing economic chaos, the USA attempts to provoke armed conflict with Russia are getting more reckless and desperate.

Seventy Years Down The Line And We Have Come Back To Appeasement As A Means To Peace.
As a spate of increasingly bloody and violent attacks on civilized values and the democratif freedoms of the western nations (free speech for example) continues to cause revulsion among the general population, our spineless leader are calling on us to be tolerant. The cowardly hypocrites who lead us may be ready to surrender, but anger is mounting in the cities and towns.

Another Blow To The US Dollar Reserve Currency Status As Russia Sings Up Turkey, India
The move led by Russian and China to dump the US dollar as global reserve currency continues to gain momentum. Most recent nations to sign bilateral agreements to settle cross border transactions in the currency of the vendor are India and Turkey.

Even The BIS Is Shocked At How Broken Markets Have Become.
If the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) the bank where banks and governments do business is worried about the state of the markets, we are in bigger trouble than anyone is letting on.

Based on info at ZH (reveal)
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EU’s arrogant plan to break defiance in Italy is a dangerous game

After Eurosceptic parties Lega and Five Star Movement thwarted the atempt of pro – EU president Matarella to overturn the democratic vote and prevent the Eurosceptic coalition from forming a government, the EU, showing its usual comtempt for democracy and the welfare of the people has decided to punish the nation and its people, in similar ways to those used to punish Greece, Portugal and Ireland when the diktat of Brussels was defied. The result is Italy no longer has a lender of last resort ready to buy up its sovereign debt, and therefore has no last line of defence for its always dodgy commercial banking system.

As long as Italians remain defiant and refuse to accept a government of EU approved bureaucratic appointees, The European Central Bank will progressively removing its shield as quantitative easing is wound down and purchases of Italian bonds fall to zero. There will be no protection by the end of the year. The Draghi pledge to do “whatever it takes” to prop up Italy’s membership of the single currency system no longer holds.

No ECB rescue will be possible unless the Italian parliament formally authorises the government to invoke the EU /IMF bail-out mechanisms (OMT-ESM) and accepts austerity imposed by Brussels. This would amount to a “Troika” regime similar to the one that wreaked havoc on society in Greece in order to protect the interests of European .

The bail out funds would then have to be approved by a vote in the German Bundestag and the Dutch Tweede Kamer. The terms they would impose on Italy would effectively put that nation under German occupation. An Italian government would not be able to act without permission from Berlin. It is inconceivable that either Lega nationalists and Five Star Eurosceptics would accept such an arrangement. Some of them would see it as a tactical opportunity to free their country from the “German cage” of monetary union.

President Sergio Mattarella may be a man of Virtù but he is also an unelected placeman of the old “casta”. Should he try to deliver Italy to EU budget commissars through a technical government, in defiance of his own parliament, he risks a dangerous breakdown of civil order.

What the EU are overlooking is that Italy, with a population of almost sisty million and the eighth largest economy in the world, might not accept being bullied as Ireland, Portugal and Greece with their small populations and weak economies had to. They are making the same mistake with Britain, and despite the best efforts of Theresa (the appeaser) May to yield to all their demands are making a civilised process leading to Btitain’s exit from the Union impossible.

Europe has gone back to the ridiculous circumstances of the 2011 crisis when Brussels prioritised saving the failinjg single currency over the economic interests of membr states and a Eurozone member state could lose access to the capital markets and slide into bankruptcy, like any private company, or the City of Detroit, or Orange County (1994).

Italy however, despite its perpetual political and financial chaos chaos, is not a poor nation. The country does not have a debt problem as such. While public liabilities (sovereign debt etc.) are high at 132pc of GDP, private liabilities are low. The Bank of International Settlements estimates that total (core) debt is 263pc of GDP, compared to 290pc in the Netherlands, 303pc in France, 321pc in Portugal, and 338pc in Belgium.

Italians have greater financial wealth per capita than the Germans. They have €1 trillion in bank accounts and $3 trillion in liquid assets. The country has a current account surplus of 2.6pc of GDP. It has a primary budget surplus of 1.7pc of GDP, and a better fiscal record lately than France or Spain.

It is rich but it has become trapped in a “bad equilibrium” with an overvalued intra-EMU exchange rate, as a direct result of being forced to accept the Euro single currency twenty years ago, when although it did not meet the qualifying standards set by the EU itself, it was admitted thanks to creative accounting because the project was never about economic stability, but was seen a major step towards political union and a European Superstate.

<!– Source: Restricting QE to break rebel defiance in Italy is a dangerous game –>

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Italian Elections: It is the EU, Not Russia, Who is the Meddler
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The EU can go and F*** itself!’ Politician’s Outburst Rallies Support In Italy
The leader of the Lega party, formerly known as Lega Nord, Matteo Salvini claimed the European Union should stop interfering with Italian politics as the measures taken by the bloc have crippled the Italian economy for the past 15 years.
Mr Salvini is the frontrunner in the upcoming Italian general election as Italy’s next Prime Minister.

Quitaly Begins: Italy referendum: ‘People don’t trust establishment, want big changes’
The defeat of Italian Prime Minister Renzi’s in Sunday’s referendum on constitutional reform, though not a surprise in the way that Brexit and Donald Trump’s win in the US Presidential election, show that people are not happy with their government’s performance, don’t trust the elite and want more radical reforms, says Italian journalist …

Italeave or Quitaly – Italy News To Exit EU?
Since the shock of Britain voting for ‘Brexit’ in 2016 this blog has been speculating on which EU nation would next quit the former free trade association that is being driven towards becoming a single political enity, a Federal superstate, Our money has always been on Italy although we hedged our bet with a wager on Hungary. And it’s starting to look as if we were correct.

The rise and fall of Emmanuel Macron

(image source: agoravox.fr” hspace=10 vspace=10>

Earlier this year the young, optimistic (rather than charismatic,) political outsider, Emmanuel Macron was elected president of France and poster boy for what we were told was the dawn of a resurgent European Union. That was then, this is now, and less than six months later, policy failures and self inflicted embarrassments such as declaring he would rule in the style of a Roman God have caused support for the former Golman Sachs banker to collapse even more rapidly that that of his predecessor in the Elysee Palace, the hapless socilist Francoise Hollande.

In the Spring of this year Macron, helped by the propanganda machines of the French establishment and the E. U. Commission comfortable defeated the anti-Brussels, anti-globalist, anti – Islamification National Front. Media coverage of the candidate projected a softer and more progressive image for the EU after its treatment of Greece had revealed the undemocratic and authoritarian nature of its power structure.

Attempts to explain the rapid decline of Macron and his government have focused on his pompous approach to governance—literally comparing his leadership to that of the Roman God Jupiter, his obsession with photo – opportunities and his defence of a lack of policy statements by airily declaring that ordinary voters could not understand the complexities of government. But there are deeper causees too. He has misdiagnosed the origins of the French economic malaise, and therefore his Jovian decrees are doing more harm than good.

It’s easy to point to the errors in the president’s perspective by merely examining the data. Macron’s economic policy cites a bloated public sector as the fundamental cause of France’s economic ills. The truly horrendous level of government debt is cited as evidence of this: as of March 2017, the debt stood at 111 percent of GDP, almost twice the 60 percent of GDP maximum allowed by the E. U’s Maastricht Treaty.

Private debt however is worse still: 187 percent of GDP, a result of easy credit and the encouragement of consumer spending to prop up an ailing economy. So, why does Macron, in common most other politicians of al parties not worry about this far higher level of debt?

The reason is he was schooled in mainstream economics. Thus Macron has been indictrinated with the idea that private debt is not relevant. It’s just a “redistribution”, according to Ben Bernanke, which “absent implausibly large differences in marginal spending propensities” between savers and lenders, “should have no significant macroeconomic effects.” The more cynical among you will recognise that as an exercise in talking bollocks.

Bernake’s belief is contradicted by the data for countries which, like France, have a private debt ratio well in excess of 100 percent of GDP. There ought to be little or no correlation between credit (the annual change in private debt) and unemployment if Bernake is correct. However, in his home country of the USA, the relationship between credit extended by the banks and unemployment since 1990 is minus 0.91: meaning the more debt people take on, the more is spent in the domestic economy. In France’s case, the correlation is lower but still substantial at minus 0.62, when according to mainstream economics, it should be close to zero.

So credit matters, not merely because savers are much less likely to consume than debtors, but because bank credit creates new money. And that is what the Macron government has faied to understand, resulting in its having focused on reducing government debt by squeezing private credit.

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You Know You Live In A Country Run By Idiots If …
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